THOMPSON, Circuit Judge.
OVERVIEW
Jorge Correa-Osorio and Denise Shepard-Fraser stand convicted of cocaine offenses. Both ask us to reverse, though for different reasons. Correa, for example, thinks the judge quadruply erred — first by admitting identification evidence (because a witness made him off a highly suggestive and unreliable procedure), next by admitting key statements under the coconspirator exception to the hearsay rule (because the government showed neither that he was in on the conspiracy nor that the statements furthered the conspiracy’s aim), then by admitting evidence of a cocaine-filled suitcase (because the evidence was irrelevant, prejudicial, and confusing), and finally by committing cumulative error (because the net effect of what the judge did made his trial fundamentally unfair). He is wrong. Shepard, for her part, thinks the judge doubly erred — first by finding the evidence sufficient to support her convictions (because the government did not prove guilty knowledge) and then by giving her a 128-month prison term (because the sentence was proeedurally and substantively unreasonable). But she is wrong too. We will explain our thinking shortly, right after we set out the case’s background.
BACKGROUND
This case should seem familiar to any regular reader of the Federal Reporter, given that it concerns yet another major cocaine conspiracy involving a creative distribution network, a large cast of coconspirators (some with colorful nicknames), and a turncoat who became the government’s star witness.
(1)
The Conspiracy at a Glance
Running from June 2006 to June 2008, the conspiracy — led by a man named Manuel Santana-Cabrera (also known as “El Boss”) — operated like this. Recruited couriers took commercial flights from San Juan to mainland cities, including Philadelphia and New York. Before boarding, they would check luggage filled with old clothes, pillows, blankets, etc. — stuff that could get through security without incident. Other conspirators working at the airport would switch the checked luggage with luggage packed with cocaine. Couriers would then fly to their destinations, claim their checked bags, and hand them off to a taxi driver — known to some as “Manopla”— who was in on the conspiracy too. Couriers would make $3,000 a trip.
(2)
The Conspiracy’s Unraveling
In September 2006 DEA agents in Philadelphia heard from their colleagues in San Juan that there was something fishy about the flight itineraries of José Vega-Torres and two others, who were flying from San Juan to New York after a layover in Philly.1 The Philadelphia agents [15]*15looked for and found the trio’s bags. After a drug-detecting dog alerted to the odor of drugs, agents got a search warrant. Their search struck pay dirt: each bag had at least 13 brick-shaped objects wrapped in a blanket, and the objects field-tested positive for cocaine.
Agents arrested Vega and his two sidekicks in New York. Vega initially told a pack of lies about why he had cocaine in his luggage, who had given it to him, who had asked him to go to New York, and who had chauffeured him to the airport. But he eventually agreed to come clean and cooperate in exchange for the government’s promise not to indict his wife on conspiracy-related charges too (she was with him on one of his smuggling trips to New York). His cooperation later led to the arrest of Correa and Shepard (plus others) and to much of the evidence the government used at trial (Correa and Shepard were tried together).
(3)
The Case Against Correa
At trial Vega identified Correa, calling him by a nickname, “El Don.” And he testified about the times that he saw him in 2006, apparently (he did not recall the exact dates).
The first time, Vega had gone to leader Santana’s house with a conspirator named Israel Martes-Canales (nicknamed “Shaq”). While there, he and Martes helped load six suitcases into the trunk of Correa’s car. The suitcases were similar in size and weight to drug luggage Vega had picked up in New York. Correa told Santana that he was actually using his wife’s car and that he would “get in trouble” if she found out what he was up to. And after Correa left, Santana told Vega that “Don” was “in charge of taking bags into the airport and putting them inside the plane.”
Vega later saw Correa working at the San Juan airport. About to jet off to New York to deliver more cocaine, he spotted Correa on the tarmac, loading bags onto a plane.
As for the last occasion, Vega went one time with Martes and another conspirator named Ricardo Soler-Rivera to drop a bag off at Correa’s house. Soler said the bag had $90,000, just before he gave it to Correa.
Seeking to undermine his credibility, Correa’s lawyer extensively cross-examined Vega on a number of topics. Vega, for example, testified about the inducements he received for cooperation, the big one being the government’s pledge not to go after his wife if he played ball. Beyond that, he confessed to not telling agents about “El Don” during an early debriefing, even though other conspirators’ names easily rolled off his tongue. And despite saying how a conspirator told him that the mainland-bound suitcases contained cocaine, he admitted to not personally knowing whether that was in fact true. He also admitted to never seeing Correa handle any of his checked luggage. What is more, he said that “El Don” had braided hair — something the defense played up because Correa later testified that he did not have braids in 2006.
On redirect Vega said that he personally knew Correa was part of the Santana-drug-trafficking cabal. But the government did not just rely on Vega’s testimony to help tell the conspiracy’s story. As part of its case-in-chief, the government, for example, also presented (over defense objections) evidence concerning the seizure of a cocaine-filled suitcase at the San Juan airport on October 4, 2007. The prosecution’s theory was that evidence about the suitcase constituted overt-act evidence [16]*16linking the defendants to the conspiracy. Here is what you need to know.
Marionel Báez-Peña — an airport-worker-turned-convict — testified that he loaded drug luggage onto planes for two people: kingpin Santana and a person named Maximo Bencosme-Aybar (also known as “Phantasma”). Báez had done two jobs for Santana. And he was set to do one for Bencosme on October 4.2 But he was not feeling well that day, so he asked airport-worker Miguel Ramos-Santi to help out. Another airport worker, Luis del-Valle-Febres, testified that early on the morning of October 4, Ramos asked him to put a tag on a suitcase left on a cart. And del-Valle did just that.
Unfortunately for those involved, DEA-agent Hector Tapia-Gerena — a member of the team investigating Santana’s drug doings — got (according to Ms testimony) a tip that day about a suspicious suitcase at the San Juan airport. Springing into action, he headed for the airport’s baggage carousel and spied an unattended suitcase on a cart. The bag’s tag read September 23. A drug-sniffing dog detected the presence of contraband. And x-rays of the suitcase showed — in outline — block-shaped items. Agents opened the bag and saw pillows, towels, and t-shirts, plus 13 bricks of powder that tested positive for cocaine. One thing led to another, and agents arrested Báez, Ramos, and del-Valle.
Testifying in his own defense, Correa denied important elements of the accusations against him. For example, he said that until his arrest, he had never met Santana. And he added that the first time he laid eyes on Vega was in court. He also painted a picture of himself as an educated, intelligent person of strong character who lived a very simple lifestyle— one incompatible with a criminal way of life. He insisted too that he did not have access to some areas while working at the airport and so could not have snuck drug bags in as alleged.
(4)
The Case Against Shepard
The case against Shepard essentially rests on a single event — her flying from San Juan to New York on September 9 and back again on September 10. The crucial testimony came from Vega, who had known her for about 20 years and who had what he described as a “friendly” relationship with her in 2006. This is what he had to say.
Already in New York, Vega and Martes went with cabbie Manopla to a New York airport to pick up Shepard and two others. Vega saw the threesome walking from the airport to the cabstand, each carrying two suitcases. Vega and Martes helped put the bags in the taxi’s trunk. Manopla then dropped everyone off at a hotel and sped off with the luggage. The accommodations were a little tight — the five from the cab (Vega, Martes, Shepard, and her two companions) stayed with four or five others in a single room a conspirator (the record does not say who) had booked for what ended up being Shepard’s one night there. Everyone — except for Vega — came from the same housing project in Puerto Rico.
At some point (the record does not indicate exactly when), Santana called Martes and ordered him to pick up a cash-filled bag at another locale and get the money back to Puerto Rico. So Martes and Vega hopped in a cab, grabbed a bag of $261,000 [17]*17in cash, and headed back to the hotel. They paid each person in the room — including Shepard — $3,000 for helping get the suitcases to New York. Then they rolled up the rest of the money in socks and crammed the rolls into their cohorts’ luggage. Vega, however, did not say who else was there when he and Martes rolled and packed the cash — most importantly for present purposes, he did not say whether Shepard saw the “show.”
Martes flew back to San Juan, apparently to handle a pressing matter (it is unclear just when he left). Vega stayed behind, bought the others — including Shepard — tickets to San Juan, and jetted back with them on September 10 (their flight left New York at 9:00 p.m. on September 10 and landed in San Juan -at 12:55 a.m. the next day). Martes and Sol-er rendezvoused with the group at the San Juan airport and drove them to Santana’s house. Only Vega and Martes went inside, however. And there they gave Santana the cash.
Looking to score some points on cross-examination (she presented no evidence in her defense), Shepard’s lawyer got Vega to talk about his run-ins with the law. Her attorney also got him to repeat that he had lied to federal agents a bunch of times before. And her lawyer got him to admit that he could not look Shepard in the eye in court (other than when he pointed to her sitting at counsel table). But the prosecution’s redirect brought out that he personally knew that she was a member of the Santana-drug-trafflcking syndicate (a damning bit of evidence when it comes to one of her arguments on appeal, ie., that she hadn’t a clue what was in the suitcases; more on this later).
(5)
Verdicts and Sentences
After hearing all the evidence, the jury convicted Correa and Shepard each on two counts: conspiring to distribute cocaine and possessing with intent to distribute cocaine. See 21 U.'S.C. §§ 841(a)(1), 841(b)(1)(A), and 846. The judge then handed out stiff prison sentences, with Correa and Shepard getting concurrent terms of 132 months and 128 months, respectively.
Which takes us to today’s appeals.3
CORREA’S APPEAL
Correa believes that the judge slipped by admitting Vega’s in-court identification of him. He also thinks that the judge stumbled by admitting three “hearsay” statements under the coconspirator exception: Vega’s statement calling him “El Don,” Santana’s statement calling “El Don” the go-to guy for getting drug bags on planes, and Soler’s statement saying a bag for “El Don” had $90,000. On top of that he thinks that the judge blundered by admitting evidence concerning the suitcase seized on October 4. And lastly he believes that the judge’s errors — even if harmless on their own — cumulatively violated his fair-trial rights. Though passionately argued, these points do not get him the reversal he seeks.
In-Court Identification
Leading things off is Correa’s claim that Vega identified him at trial under unduly-suggestive conditions — an identification, he adds, that was not otherwise reliable. He never raised this objection below, limiting us to plain-error review — a standard that requires him to prove four [18]*18things: (1) an error, (2) that is clear or obvious, (3) which affects his substantial rights (ie., the error made him worse off), and which (4) seriously impugns the fairness, integrity, or public reputation of the proceeding. See, e.g., United States v. Olano, 507 U.S. 725, 734-37, 113 S.Ct. 1770, 123 L.Ed.2d 508 (1993); United States v. Kinsella, 622 F.3d 75, 83 (1st Cir.2010). Applying that not-so-defendant-friendly standard, see United States v. Williams, 717 F.3d 35, 42 (1st Cir.2013) — and knowing too that we must fight off any “reflexive inclination” to reverse unpreserved errors, see Puckett v. United States, 556 U.S. 129, 134, 129 S.Ct. 1423, 173 L.Ed.2d 266 (2009) — we see no way to reverse here. .
First, some context. Vega testified for the government over three days. During the first day or so he talked at length about a number of things, including: his personal life (he is married with three children), how and why he joined the Santana-commanded conspiracy (a friend told him about it, knowing he needed money), what he did for the conspiracy (helping get cocaine to New York and cash back to Puerto Rico), and the fallout from his arrest in New York (pleading guilty to drug crimes, agreeing to cooperate with authorities, and getting benefits for his cooperation).
On the second day Vega brought up Shepard (explaining, for example, how he had known her for two decades and was “friendly” with her in 2006). And he identified her for the jury.4 That afternoon— following a lunch break — the prosecutor asked Vega about his visiting Santana’s house. On one of those occasions, Vega said, a “person known as ‘the Don’ was there.” Responding to a question from the judge, Vega clarified that Santana and “El Don” were different people. And if “El Don” is in the “courtroom,” the prosecutor said to Vega, “can you describe him or her?” “Yes,” Vega replied, “[t]he gentleman with the long-sleeved shirt.” Correa’s lawyer “concede[d] that [Vega] is referring to my client.”
Kicking off cross-examination, Correa’s counsel asked Vega if he had met with DEA agents and prosecutors to “discuss what you were going to testify” to. ‘Yes,” Vega answered. Counsel (as we said) then later tried to chip away at the in-court identification, getting Vega to say that “El Don” had braided hair (reminiscent of a look favored by a Puerto Rican rapper known as “Don Omar”) and eliciting from Correa that he (Correa) did not have braids in 2006 (which again is around the time Vega supposedly saw him). And counsel repeated this misidentification theory in his closing argument, telling the jury that Vega simply “confus[ed] my client with somebody else.” Vega had an obvious motive to lie, counsel also stressed, because his wife’s freedom was at stake.
Now back to Correa’s newly-minted argument. He believes that because he was the only male defendant at defense table, Vega obviously knew whom he should single out — any watcher of TV crime dramas can surely tell which person in the courtroom is the defendant, he adds. And this procedure, he says, was so unnecessarily suggestive that it raised a very serious likelihood of misidentification — meaning the judge should have barred the evidence on due-process grounds, even without an objection from counsel. We see things differently.
[19]*19The Constitution, caselaw holds, guards against convictions tied to evidence of questionable reliability — not by banning the evidence’s admission, but by giving defendants the tools to convince jurors the evidence is not belief-worthy. See Perry v. New Hampshire, — U.S. —, 132 S.Ct. 716, 723, 181 L.Ed.2d 694 (2012). There is, however, a small exception for police-arranged identifications — think photo arrays, showups, and lineups. See id. at 724. Due process, we see, bars trial' courts from admitting such evidence “if the ... identification procedure was so impermissibly suggestive as to give rise to a very substantial likelihood of irreparable misidentification” — irreparable because trial mechanisms would not help a jury distinguish between reliable and unreliable identifications. See Neil v. Biggers, 409 U.S. 188, 197, 93 S.Ct. 375, 34 L.Ed.2d 401 (1972) (quoting Simmons v. United States, 390 U.S. 377, 384, 88 S.Ct. 967, 19 L.Ed.2d 1247 (1968)); see also Manson v. Brathwaite, 432 U.S. 98, 116, 97 S.Ct. 2243, 53 L.Ed.2d 140 (1977). Based on the Biggers line of cases, courts confronted with a challenge to a police-run identification process must ask, first, whether the process was unduly suggestive, and, if yes, whether the identification was still reliable given the totality of the circumstances.5 See, e.g., United States v. Arthur, 764 F.3d 92, 99-100 (1st Cir.2014); United States v. Jones, 689 F.3d 12, 17 (1st Cir.2012). Deterring police misuse of identification procedures is the key principle animating what we will call the Biggers test. See Perry, 132 S.Ct. at 726.
The deterrence rationale falls away, obviously, if the police did not arrange the identification. And thus, our judicial superiors tell us, the Biggers test does not apply and an altogether different method of analysis takes center stage: if a witness identifies the defendant under circumstances that are not police-rigged, any dispute about the identification’s reliability is for the jury, with the defendant protected by ordinary criminal-trial safeguards' — the right to an effective counsel who can try to poke holes in the witness’s identification, the right to be presumed innocent and be convicted by a jury of one’s peers only by proof beyond a reasonable doubt, etc. See id. at 723, 728-30 (abrogating United States v. Bouthot, 878 F.2d 1506, 1516 (1st Cir.1989), among other cases).
A key question is: In eases like ours — involving a prosecutor’s securing an in-court identification under supposedly suggestive circumstances — which approach applies, Perry’s or Biggers’s?6 One could argue either way.
On the one hand: In a recent case bearing an uncanny resemblance to Correa’s— involving as it does in-court identifications of a male defendant seated at counsel table, with the police playing no part in his getting picked out — the Eleventh Circuit (by a 2-1 vote) read Perry as holding that the Biggers test applies only if the complained-of suggestion arose from improper police conduct. See United States v. Whatley, 719 F.3d 1206, 1215-17 (11th Cir.2013). And staying with Perry, that Circuit rebuffed the defendant’s due-process challenge, concluding that he got the same [20]*20process “identified in Perry as constitutionally sufficient” for persons not identified through police-rigged procedures. Id. at 1216-17.
On the other hand: The Seventh Circuit (by a 2-1 vote) — after citing Perry — more recently used the Biggers test to reject a due-process attack on an in-court identification of a black' male seated at defense table. See Lee v. Foster, 750 F.3d 687, 691-92 (7th Cir.2014). Because nothing in the record showed that the witness had made the identification “solely on the basis of [the defendant’s] race” or that the prosecutor had asked the witness to point to the black male at counsel table, that Circuit found no undue suggestion. Id.
We need not choose sides in this debate today. And that is because Correa’s identification argument fails under either Perry or Biggers.7
(a)
Applying Perry
Assuming without deciding that Perry governs our situation, we note the following. The jurors had ring-side seats for Vega’s identification. Hearing him speak and reading his facial expressions and body language, they were best positioned to detect any hint of unsureness when he singled-out Correa. They also had an up-close look at Vega during the defense’s cross-examination of him — and counsel cross-examined him with gusto, getting him to say, for example, that “El Don” had braided hair when Correa testified that he did not wear his hair that way in 2006. Plus, the jurors heard counsel’s attack on Vega’s credibility during summation, with counsel arguing (among other things) that Vega had “confusfed] my client with somebody else” and that he had every incentive to tell agents whatever they wanted to hear (keeping his wife out of jail was incentive number one). And of course the jury found Correa guilty despite the presumption of innocence and the beyond-a-reasonable doubt burden of proof.
Correa protests that the identification does not square with due process because he was seated at the defense table when Vega fingered him. But the government did not put him there. Also keep in mind that he had a constitutional right to be present at trial, see Illinois v. Allen, 397 U.S. 337, 338, 90 S.Ct. 1057, 25 L.Ed.2d 353 (1970), and defendants (who have to sit somewhere, clearly) usually sit at counsel table to assist in their defense.
Simply put, Correa received all the safeguards Perry stamped sufficient to protect a defendant’s due-process rights in this context. See Perry, 132 S.Ct. at 728-30 (explaining that the way to handle unreliable evidence is through the adversary system, which includes the assistance of counsel, the ability to confront witnesses, the right to introduce evidence, and the presumption of innocence). Which is why his argument loses under Perry.
(b)
Applying the Biggers Test
Alternatively, assuming without deciding that the Biggers test holds sway, we have [21]*21this to say. Sure, every in-court identification has “some element of suggestion.” Perry, 132 S.Ct. at 727.8 What matters is whether there was undue suggestion (words like “unnecessary” and “impermissible” can substitute for “undue,” by the way). And that is where Correa gets tripped up.
An in-court identification may be unduly suggestive if, for example, the prosecutor drew the witness’s attention to the defendant (say, by pointing to him) or asked questions that suggested the hoped-for result,9 or if the defendant looked different from others in the courtroom or at counsel table when the identification occurred (say, by being the only black person present).10 These are constitutional danger zones, for sure. Yet the record reveals no such problems here, however. And Correa does not argue otherwise — these special problems do not appear in his brief and so any argument along those lines is waived. See, e.g., United States v. Zannino, 895 F.2d 1, 17 (1st Cir.1990).
Instead he basically says that he had a huge “pick me” sign on him because (again) he was the only male defendant at counsel table, and it was that — and that alone — which made the situation unduly suggestive.11 But he does not cite — and we could not find — any federal-appellate case supporting his position (our court has not addressed the issue), though we did spy a case from another circuit undercutting his claim. See United States v. Bush, 749 F.2d 1227, 1232 (7th Cir.1984) (noting that “[t]he only suggestive circumstance identified by defendant is that he sat at counsel table” and holding that “[t]his circumstance alone is not enough to establish a violation of due process”).12 Simply put, [22]*22he never gets to first base under the Biggers test.
(c)
Summing up so Far
The plain-error standard is “extremely” difficult to prove. United States v. Vigneau, 187 F.3d 70, 82 (1st Cir.1999). And rightly so, since the standard’s central aim is “to encourage timely objections,” see United States v. Dominguez Benitez, 542 U.S. 74, 82, 124 S.Ct. 2333, 159 L.Ed.2d 157 (2004) — a goal that (hopefully) deters unsavory sandbagging by lawyers (i.e., their keeping mum about an error, pocketing it for later just in case the jury does not acquit) and gives judges the chance to fix things without the need for appeals and new trials, see Puckett, 556 U.S. at 134, 140, 129 S.Ct. 1423. But what happened to Correa was not plain error, because it was not error when measured against either Perry or Biggers.
(d)
Responding to the Dissent13
The dissent thinks we are all wrong on the Biggers issue, insisting that the prosecutor so clearly manipulated the in-court identification — using an unnecessarily-suggestive process — that the judge should have found a Biggers violation without help from counsel. See United States v. Frady, 456 U.S. 152, 163, 102 S.Ct. 1584, 71 L.Ed.2d 816 (1982) (explaining that plain error means an error so obvious that a judge is “derelict in countenancing it, even absent the defendant’s timely assistance in detecting it”). But nothing the dissent says points to plain error — i.e., an “indisputable” slip up on the judge’s part, given controlling precedent. See United States v. Jones, 748 F.3d 64, 70 (1st Cir.2014) (citing United States v. Marcus, 560 U.S. 258, 262, 130 S.Ct. 2159, 176 L.Ed.2d 1012 (2010)); see also United States v. Caraballo-Rodriguez, 480 F.3d 62, 70 (1st Cir.2007); United States v. Diaz, 285 F.3d 92, 97 (1st Cir.2002).
Here is the essence of the dissent’s undue-suggestion thesis: The prosecutor’s prepping Vega, having him testify for over a day (which gave him plenty of time to eye Correa at counsel table), and then (and only then) having him pick Correa out infracted due process — an in-your-face infraction that should have spurred the judge to strike the identification. The prosecutor, the dissent adds, should have done one of two things instead — first, relied on an identification Vega made pretrial through non-suggestive means (no pretrial ID appears in the record, though), or, second, relied on an in-court lineup (we will call these his alternative-identification methods). But in our experience nothing odd went down here — certainly nothing amounting to a clear-cut constitutional violation.
Prosecutors (like other lawyers) prep witnesses (even if just to tell them to testify truthfully). And there is no hint in the record that the prosecutor crossed any line in prepping Vega (for example by coaching him to pick Correa). Importantly too, the dissent cites no law (let alone binding law)- — and we know of none — saying that routine witness prep equals undue suggestion.
As for the identification’s timing, even the dissent admits that prosecutors can (within wide margins) present their case in [23]*23the order they wish. And the prosecutor did what any lawyer would do, eliciting background info from Vega — about how the Santana-controlled conspiracy ran (who did what, with whom, for whom, where, and when), for instance — which helped establish a foundation for identifying Correa.14 Regardless, the dissent again cites no settled law — and we are aware of none — holding a prosecutor acts in an unduly-suggestive way simply by having a witness testify (here, for a day and a half) before identifying the accused.15
What is left is the dissent’s talk of alternative-identification methods. Once again the dissent cites no controlling authority— and we found none — requiring out-of-court identifications or in-court lineups over the “usual practice” of having a witness identify the defendant from the stand (again, assuming the usual practice does not stray into the constitutional danger zone most recently referenced in footnote 15).16
Concluding, as we do, that the dissent’s undue-suggestion critique does not add up to plain error (or, indeed, to error of any kind), we turn to Correa’s other claims.17
“Hearsay” Statements
Correa does not contest the sufficiency of the evidence against him. Rather he next complains that much of the government’s case depended on hearsay statements not admissible under the co-conspirator exception, which exempts from the hearsay rule comments made by a coconspirator diming and in furtherance of the conspiracy. See Fed.R.Evid. 801(d)(2)(E). This is how that exception works. If a defendant contests the admissibility of an alleged coconspirator state[24]*24ment, the judge may conditionally admit the evidence and put off ruling until the close of all the evidence. See, e.g., United States v. Ciresi, 697 F.3d 19, 25-26 (1st Cir.2012) (discussing United States v. Petrozziello, 548 F.2d 20 (1st Cir.1977)). Prosecutors must then prove by a preponderance of the evidence (apart from the statements themselves) the elements of admissibility under the exception — that the defendant and the speaker were coconspirators and that the speaker made the statement during the course and in furtherance of the conspiracy. See id. at 25; see also United States v. Piper, 298 F.3d 47, 52 (1st Cir.2002). A judge’s ruling on this score is called a “Petrozziello ruling.” Ciresi, 697 F.3d at 25. If prosecutors fall short, the defendant can ask the judge to,declare a mistrial or strike the statements. See, e.g., United States v. Mangual-Garcia, 505 F.3d 1, 8 (1st Cir.2007).
Correa gripes about three statements admitted through Vega’s testimony: Vega’s statement pinning the “El Don” nickname on him, Santana’s statement tagging “El Don” as the person in charge of getting drug bags on planes, and Soler’s statement saying a bag handed to “El Don” had $90,000. In making this pitch, he does not deny being nicknamed “El Don.”18 Nor does he question Santana’s .and Soler’s membership in the conspiracy. He just thinks that the prosecutors did not show it more likely than not (the usual' preponderance standard) that he was the “El Don” who coconspired with the speakers or that the challenged comments furthered the conspiracy.
We typically give abuse-of-discretion review to the question of whether a statement is in fact hearsay. See, e.g., United States v. Brown, 669 F.3d 10, 22-24 (1st Cir.2012); United States v. Colón-Díaz, 521 F.3d 29, 33 (1st Cir.2008). And we usually review objections to a judge’s Petrozziello ruling for clear error, see, e.g., Ciresi, 697 F.3d at 26, knowing a party cannot show clear error if there are competing views of the evidence, see, e.g., United States v. Dowdell, 595 F.3d 50, 73 (1st Cir.2010).
Right off the bat, the parties fight over whether Correa did enough below to preserve the nickname argument for review (they agree he preserved the other arguments, however). We can sidestep that issue, though, because it is easier to decide the argument on the merits. See United States v. Murphy, 193 F.3d 1, 5 (1st Cir.1999) (taking a similar .tack in a similar situation).
Correa helpfully concedes one thing — that Vega was not at all clear on how he learned about the “El Don” moniker that he stuck Correa with. That is a very big deal because we need not worry about the coconspirator exception unless the contested comment constituted hearsay. See id. at 6. Correa speculates that Vega “could only have learned” about the “El Don” sobriquet “through hearsay”— i.e., that Vega must have heard about the nickname from someone other than Correa. But the evidence does not foreclose the possibility that Vega did indeed hear about the “El Don” handle from Correa. True, Vega did testify that he did not chat with Correa the time he saw him at Santana’s house. Yet that hardly means that Vega did not catch Correa introduce himself to another there as “El Don.” And because no one can possibly know — based on what is before us — whether Vega got the nickname info via hearsay, Correa has not shown an abuse of discretion on this threshold issue.
[25]*25Moving to the Petrozziello issue, Correa has not shown clear error with the judge’s handling of the other statements— Santana’s comment that “El Don” was the point man for getting the drug bags on planes, and Soler’s remark that a bag for “El Don” had $90,000. For one thing, the record—even leaving aside the hearsay statements themselves—demonstrates that Correa more probably than not was a coconspirator of the speakers. Recall Vega’s testimony about seeing Correa with conspiracy-chief Santana at Santana’s home. They had. suitcases that resembled the ones Vega smuggled into New York. The bags—which Vega helped load into the trunk of the car—weighed about the same too. And after putting the bags into the auto, Vega heard Correa tell Santana that the car was his wife’s and that this could land him in hot water with her if she knew what he was up to. The evidence of Correa’s conspiracy membership might not be overwhelming, but it suffices on a preponderance standard.19 Or at least the judge did not clearly err in so concluding. Also, the “in furtherance” requirement can be satisfied (among other ways) by statements identifying other conspirators, explaining how the conspiracy works, or updating members on the conspiracy’s doings. See, e.g., Ciresi, 697 F.3d at 29, 30; United States v. Díaz, 670 F.3d 332, 348-49 (1st Cir.2012). And using the preponderance test, the contested statements fit the bill. Or so the judge was entitled to conclude without clearly erring.20
Two sets of issues down, two to go.
Evidence Concerning the Suitcase Seized on October ¿
Correa’s penultimate argument—■ made and lost below, meaning abuse-of-discretion review is called for—is simple enough. Prosecutors, he reminds us, presented evidence about the suitcase seized on October 4 to help establish the existence of the Santana-led conspiracy. Yet, he insists, other evidence already in the record showed a Santana-run conspiracy, and no evidence tied this suitcase to that conspiracy. Yes, he stresses, Báez did testify that he himself helped sneak drug bags onto planes for both Santana and Bencosme. But, he notes, Báez made it crystal clear that he and others did the October 4 caper only for Bencosme, and there is zero evidence (to quote his brief) that Bencosme “ever worked for or with” Santana. So, his argument continues, evidence of the October 4 seizure was wholly irrelevant, unfairly prejudicial, and potentially confusing, given that it could have distracted the jury’s attention from a material issue—namely, the existence (or not) of a Santana-headed conspiracy. See Fed. R.Evid. 403. His theory has a certain bite. But we need not decide whether he is right because any error—if error there was— was harmless and so not reversible.
Errors in admitting evidence are “harmless” unless the evidence “likely affected” the trial’s outcome. See United States v. Landrón-Class, 696 F.3d 62, 71 (1st Cir.2012) (parenthetically quoting United States v. Dunbar, 553 F.3d 48, 59 (1st Cir.2009)); see also United States v. Adams, 375 F.3d 108, 113 (1st Cir.2004). [26]*26And as for whether a Santana-captained conspiracy was a real thing — the raison d’etre for the suitcase evidence’s presentation, Correa says — plenty of evidence showed that it was. Just remember all the testimony about how conspirators stashed drug bags aboard chosen planes in San Juan bound for New York, then dropped the drugs off in New York for sale, and then shipped cash back to San Juan, with Santana — a/k/a' “El Boss” — pulling the strings. Compared with all this, the suitcase evidence is a drop in the bucket. So we can say with “fair assurance” that the disputed evidence did not sway the jury’s verdict, meaning Correa’s second-to-last argument — like his others — goes nowhere.21 See Landrón-Class, 696 F.3d at 71.
Cumulative Error
That leaves us with Correa’s protest that, even if his claimed errors do not justify reversal individually, they do when taken cumulatively. But because we have espied only one assumed error that is harmléss at that, the cumulative-error doctrine cannot help him. See United States v. DeSimone, 699 F.3d 113, 128 (1st Cir.2012).
Enough said about Correa’s appeal. Now on to Shepard’s.
SHEPARD’S APPEAL
Shepard attacks the sufficiency 'of the evidence to convict her and the reasonableness of her sentence. Though skillfully presented, her arguments do not persuade.
Adequacy of the Evidence
Sufficiency challenges rarely succeed, see United States v. Moran, 984 F.2d 1299,1300 (1st Cir.1993), and this one is no exception. The gist of Shepard’s argument — below and on appeal — is that prosecutors failed to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that she knew the bags she grabbed at the New York airport had drugs in thém, as opposed to some other form of contraband. And so, the theory goes, her conspiracy and substantive-possession convictions cannot stand.22 The judge disagreed. We of course assess her claim de novo, viewing the evidence — including all fair inferences' — in the light most agreeable to the verdict and asking whether a sensible jury could have convicted beyond a reasonable doubt. See, e.g., United States v. Seng Tan, 674 F.3d 103, 107 (1st Cir.2012). Critically too, even if she has a plausible innocent explanation for her actions, we must affirm if — after viewing the record from the prosecution’s [27]*27vantage point — -there was adequate evidence of her guilt. See, e.g., United States v. George, 761 F.3d 42, 48 (1st Cir.2014).
What sinks Shepard’s sufficiency claim is Vega’s testimony that he personally knew that she was a member of Santana’s drug-trafficking enterprise.23 From that evidence a clear-eyed jury could readily infer that members like Shepard know that drug smuggling is a drug enterprise’s lifeblood and that handling drugs is what members do. See United States v. Ortiz, 966 F.2d 707, 712 (1st Cir.1992) (explaining that “jurors are neither required to 'divorce themselves from their common sense nor to abandon the dictates of mature experience”). And a wide-awake jury could then go on to infer that Shepard knew from the suspicious happenings surrounding her New York trip — her getting $3,000 simply for jetting there on someone else’s dime, grabbing a couple of suitcases from the airport’s luggage carousel, and passing them off to others almost immediately, never to see the bags again, etc.— that the suitcases contained drugs. See id.
Wait a minute, says Shepard, holes remain in the record — for example, there is no direct evidence that (1) she ever saw even a speck of drugs in Puerto Rico or in New York, that (2) she and Vega were anything more than mere acquaintances (Vega’s cell phone had several conspirators’ contact info, but not Shepard’s), that (3) either Vega or anyone else ever so much as hinted that she would be lugging drug bags to a waiting taxi, or that (4) she was present when Vega and Martes rolled and packed the cash for the trip back to Puerto Rico. Even assuming that these are plausible theories of innocencé, she gains nothing, “because the issue is not whether a jury rationally could have acquitted but whether it rationally could have found guilt beyond a reasonable doubt.” Seng Tan, 674 F.3d at 107. Granted, the government’s case may not have been “airtight” — most are not, we know. See Leftwich v. Maloney, 532 F.3d 20, 28 (1st Cir.2008). But taking all the evidence— direct and circumstantial — in the light most flattering to the verdict, we think a levelheaded jury had enough to make a guilty-knowledge inference required to convict. See also United States v. Sawyer, 85 F.3d 713, 733 (1st Cir.1996).
Reasonableness of the Sentence
That takes us to the dispute over Shepard’s 128-month prison term — a sentence 8 months above the 10-year statutory mandatory minimum but 23 months below the bottom of the 151-188 month recommended guidelines range. She does not question the correctness of either the mandatory minimum or the guidelines range. But she does contest the procedural and substantive reasonableness of her sentence, offering lots of reasons why she should get a 120-month term after a sentencing do-over. We review preserved arguments for abuse of discretion and unpreserved ones for plain error. See, e.g., United States v. Tavares, 705 F.3d 4, 24 (1st Cir.2013). Ultimately, though, none of her arguments succeed.
Procedural Reasonableness
Shepard first accuses the judge of not considering every sentencing factor [28]*28listed in 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a).24 But after listening to her lawyer argue for leniency (a plea that — among other things — referenced her pre-arrest rehabilitative efforts and stressed how a heavy sentence would hurt her family) and after hearing her statement (an “allocution,” in legal lingo), the judge said that he had considered “all the factors.” And his comment “is entitled to some weight” — that is particularly true when a judge issues a within-guidelines 'sentence, see United States v. Clogston, 662 F.3d 588, 590 (1st Cir.2011) (internal quotation marks omitted), and here (don’t forget) we have a heiow-guidelines sentence. But the judge said much more. For example, he touched on the seriousness of her crimes (“hundreds of kilograms of cocaine were transported in this conspiracy” and “nothing” could have happened without her and other couriers like her), talked about her difficult family circumstances (she is a “widowed mother of five children”), highlighted her lack of criminal record, alluded to societal-protective concerns (“how many children are affected by drugs ... ?”), stressed the need to avoid unwarranted disparities between her sentence and Correa’s (he had gotten 132 months). And he concluded that a 128-month sentence — a term far lower than the 151-188 month guidelines range — served the purposes reflected in § 3553(a). We see nothing resembling an abuse of discretion here.
Trying a different tack, Shepard argues that the judge put too much weight on one factor (eliminating unjustified sentencing disparities) and too little weight on others (her history and characteristics, as well as guidelines policy statements dealing with downward departures for things like family responsibilities).25 Over and over again we have said that judges are not required to “give each factor equal billing,” noting that because sentencing outcomes “turn mostly on ‘case-specific and defendant-specific’ ” nuances, “ ‘[t]he relative weight of each factor will vary with the idiosyncratic circumstances of each case’ ” — and thus judges can tweak “ ‘the calculus accordingly.’ ” United States v. Denson, 689 F.3d 21, 28-29 (1st Cir.2012) (quoting United States v. Dixon, 449 F.3d 194, 205 (1st Cir.2006)). The judge did what the caselaw permits. So again we find no abuse of discretion.
Shepard also contends — for the first time on appeal, though — that the judge did not adequately explain his reasoning for her sentence. But what we have already written shows she is wrong. A judge must say enough for us to meaningfully review [29]*29the sentence’s reasonableness. See United States v. Fernández-Cabrera, 625 F.3d 48, 53 (1st Cir.2010) (adding that a judge’s explanation need not be “precise to the point of pedantry”). And the judge’s explanation was up to snuff — which is another way of saying that he committed no error in this respect, much less plain error.
Substantive Reasonableness
Not only is Shepard’s sentence procedurally reasonable — it is substantively reasonable too, which is to say not too harsh under the “totality of the circumstances.” Gall v. United States, 552 U.S. 38, 51, 128 S.Ct. 586, 169 L.Ed.2d 445 (2007). Her arguments otherwise — that her family circumstances and pre-arrest rehabilitation call for a 120-month term instead of a 128-month stretch, and that the judge placed too much emphasis on minimizing unjust sentencing disparities — are essentially a rebranding of her failed procedural-unreasonableness theories. When all is said and done, a claim like hers is a tough sell— more so when the sentence comes within a correctly-calculated guidelines range, see Clogston, 662 F.3d at 592-93, and here (as we have said, hopefully without trying the reader’s patience) we have a below-guidelines term! For every case there is a range of reasonable punishment. See, e.g., United States v. Walker, 665 F.3d 212, 234 (1st Cir.2011). And because Shepard’s sentence (backed by the judge’s plausible explanation) does not fall outside “the expansive universe” of acceptable outcomes, we spot no abuse of discretion- — which leads straight to affirmance. See United States v. King, 741 F.3d 305, 308 (1st Cir.2014).
FINAL WORDS
Our work over, we affirm Correa’s and Shepard’s convictions, and we affirm Shepard’s sentence too.