In Re: Fannie mae/freddie Mac Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement Class Action Litigations

District Court, District of Columbia·Decided October 21, 2022·No. Misc. No. 2013-1288·Published

Opinion

UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

FAIRHOLME FUNDS, INC., et al.,

Plaintiffs,

v. Case No. 1:13-cv-1053-RCL

FEDERAL HOUSING FINANCE AGENCY, et al. ,

Defendants.

In re Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement Class Case No. 1:13-mc-1288-RCL Action Litigations

This Memorandum Opinion relates to: CLASS ACTION ALL CASES " ' ' l'fLED lJNB~ &~ IO(-,.,[.....

MEMORANDUM OPINION

Ten different motions in limine are now pending before the Court, all of which were

discussed to some extent in the recent pretrial conference. This Memorandum Opinion sets forth

the Court's reasoning for its disposition of those motions in the accompanying Order. Many of the

motions in limine raise closely related issues, but in the interest of clarity, the Court will consider

them one by one, beginning with plaintiffs' motions, followed by defendants' motions.

I. Plaintiffs' Motions

A. Plaintiffs' Motion in Limine to Exclude Certain Opinions and Testimony of Defendants' Expert Mukarram Attari (Fairholme ECF No. 161, Classs ECF No. 156)

Defendants plan to call their expert Dr. Mukarram Attari to testify that it was reasonable

for FHFA to agree to the Third Amendment and that it did not harm plaintiffs. Plaintiffs move to

exclude two of Dr. Attari's opinions: (1) that, based on an "event study" he conducted of bond yields following the announcement of the Third Amendment, that announcement caused a

tightening of the difference in yield between GSE bonds and Treasury bonds ("Treasury spread");

and (2) that if the periodic commitment fee ("PCF") to which Treasury was entitled prior to the

Third Amendment were assessed, it would have been set at the GSEs' net profits. For the reasons

that follow, this motion will be GRANTED in part and DENIED in part.

1. The Event Study and Bond Yields

Plaintiffs argue that Dr. Attari's opinion that the Third Amendment caused the decline in

the GSE bonds' Treasury spread should be excluded as unreliable under Federal Rule of Evidence

702 because it fails to account for a potentially confounding variable, namely another part of the

Third Amendment, separate from the Net Worth Sweep, that required the GSEs to accelerate the

winddown of their retained mortgage portfolios. But Dr. Attari never claims that his event study

alone isolates the impact of the Net Worth Sweep from the impact of other aspects of the Third

Amendment on bond yields. See Attari Rep. ,r,r 80-87, Ex. A to Pis.' Mot, Fairholme ECF No. 161-2, Class ECF No. 156-2 (referring only to "the Third Amendment" and not the Net Worth

Sweep). Plaintiffs cite a number of cases for the proposition that "[a]n event study that fails to

disaggregate the effects of confounding factors must be excluded because it misleadingly suggests

to the jury that a sophisticated statistical analysis proves th~ impact of' the event being studied,

Bricklayers and Trowel Trades Intern. Pension Fund v. Credit Suisse First Boston, 853 F. Supp.

2d 181, 190 (D. Mass. 2012); see Pis.' Reply at 4-5, Fairholme ECF No. 174, Class ECF No. 167,

but those cases deal with an expert's failure to account for variables that might confound their

actual conclusions.

The real dispute is thus over whether Dr. Attari's opinion about the entire Third

Amendment "will help the trier of fact ... to determine a fact in issue." Fed. R. Evid. 702(a). And

understanding the effect of the entire package of changes included in the Third Amendment-the

2 Net Worth Sweep and everything else-could conceivably help the jury determine whether

shareholders could reasonably have expected FHFA, under the circumstances, to agree to a major

part of that package in its role as conservator. Moreover, plaintiffs can always cross-examine Dr.

Attari regarding the weight that the jury should give to the market's reaction to the entire package,

which also alleviates plaintiffs' concern that his use of the phrase "Third Amendment," which

other witnesses will use to refer to the Net Worth Sweep in particular, will be substantially

prejudicial.

For these reasons, plaintiffs' motion in limine to preclude Dr. Attari's testimony will be

DENIED insofar as it seeks to exclude Dr. Attari's testimony about his event study and bond

yields.

2. The Amount of the PCF

Plaintiffs argue that Dr. Attari's opinion that the PCF would have been set at the GSEs' net

profits should be excluded as unreliable under Rule 702 because it relies on essentially no

methodology at all. Specifically, Dr. Attari reasons as follows: (1) "The [agreements between

FHFA and Treasury] provided that the PCF be set based on the market-determined value of the

[Treasury] Commitment," (2) "[a] market participant would typically set the PCF based on the role

of the Commitment," (3) "in this case, the role of the Commitment was to provide the GSEs with

equity capital," (4) [p]roviders of equity capital typically receive the firm's profits," and therefore

(5) "as an initial estimate, a market-determined PCF would be set at the level of the GSEs' profits."

Attari Rep. ,r 105, Ex. A to Pis.' Mot., Fairholme ECF No. 161-2, Class ECF No. 156-2.

As plaintiffs note, Dr. Attari so reasons without citation to anything, or any explanation

that he is relying on his experience in the field of financial economics. Defendants argue that no

citation is necessary, because he is relying on basic financial-economic concepts, and "Rule 702

imposes no minimum citation requirement." In re Fluidmaster, Inc., Water Connector

3 Components Prod. Liab. Litig., No. 14-cv-5696, 2017 WL 1196990, at *7 (N.D. Ill. Mar. 31,

2017). But while there may be no need to cite evidence for basic financial concepts like the

principle that providers of equity capital usually receive a firm's profits, the Court is troubled by

the lack of citation or explanation for the proposition that "[a] market participant would typically

set the PCF based on the role of the Commitment," Attari Rep. ,r 105, Ex. A to Pis.' Mot.,

Fairho/me ECF No. 161-2, Class ECF No. 156-2, and the leap from that proposition to the

assumption that the market value of the Commitment would be 100 percent of what is due to

providers of equity capital. In their opposition to this motion, defendants do not explain where that

proposition came from, except perhaps to suggest that the entire passage from the expert report

draws on Dr. Attari's experience as a financial economist and an analogy to bankruptcy financing.

See Defs.' Opp' n at 16-19, Fairholme ECF No. 168, Class ECF No. 161. But Dr. Attari did not

claim to be relying on his expertise or experience when he stated, as if it were obvious, how a

market participant would typically set the PCF or anything like it. This portion of Dr. Attari 's

testimony thus does not appear to be supported by reliable methodology, as Rule 702 requires.

For these reasons, plaintiffs' motion in limine to exclude Dr. Attari's testimony will be

GRANTED insofar as it seeks to exclude under Rule 702 Dr.

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In Re: Fannie mae/freddie Mac Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement Class Action Litigations, (D.D.C. 2022).

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