White v. State Board of Election Commissioners

District Court, N.D. Mississippi·Decided July 24, 2024·No. 4:22-cv-00062·Unknown

Opinion

IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF MISSISSIPPI GREENVILLE DIVISION

DYAMONE WHITE, et al. PLAINTIFFS

v. CAUSE NO. 4:22-CV-62-SA-JMV

STATE BOARD OF ELECTION COMMISSIONERS, et al. DEFENDANTS

ORDER

On February 1, 2024, Magistrate Judge Virden entered an Order [177] granting in part and denying in part the Defendants’ request for attorney’s fees and expert fees. The Plaintiffs have since filed an Objection and Appeal [178]. Relevant Background Some context as to the procedural history of this case is necessary.1 On July 19, 2022, the Court entered a Case Management Order [47] which set various discovery-related deadlines including, as relevant here, deadlines for the parties’ respective expert designations. On October 3, 2022, the Plaintiffs, in accordance with their deadline to do so, served their expert witness disclosures and initial reports. See [66]. Magistrate Judge Virden articulated the following synopsis of those disclosures and opinions: [O]n October 3, 2022, Plaintiffs served their expert witness disclosures, including the initial reports of political science professors, Dr. Burch and Dr. Orey. In a nutshell, Dr. Burch’s initial report was that Black Mississippians vote at a lower rate of turnout than White Mississippians, and that this lower turnout rate could be explained by the disparity in educational attainment. For her opinion, she relied on the data obtained from the Current Population Survey Voting and Registration Supplement (“CPS data”) supplied by the U.S. Census Bureau. In Dr. Orey’s initial designation he opined, in relevant part, but offered nothing in support thereof, that

1 Magistrate Judge Virden clearly set forth much of the relevant procedural history in a previous Order [140], and the Court will refer to it throughout this filing. the outcome of a formally non-partisan race, like that for the Supreme Court, could not be driven by partisanship.

[140] at p. 2. The Defendants timely designated Dr. David Swanson as an expert in demography and Dr. Christopher Bonneau as an expert in political science.2 Magistrate Judge Virden summarized those two experts’ reports as follows: Dr. Swanson’s report, as discussed below, stated that Dr. Burch’s expert report contained a flawed analysis of the CPS data on which she relied. Dr. Swanson opined that that data, when properly analyzed, actually supported the finding that Black Mississippians do not have a lower rate of voter turnout than White Mississippians. In Dr. Bonneau’s report, in relevant part, he opines, based on data and analyses, that party rather than race explains racially polarized voting in Mississippi. He offers this information in opposition to Dr. Orey’s unsupported opinion to the contrary.

[140] at p. 2. A month later, on February 6, 2023, the Plaintiffs disclosed rebuttal reports of both Dr. Burch and Dr. Orey. In her rebuttal report, Dr. Burch candidly acknowledged multiple errors in her original analysis. She incorrectly included children aged 15-17 in her analysis. Magistrate Judge Virden summarized other issues with Dr. Burch’s original report: [Dr. Burch] also states that she “calculated total turnout for both racial groups incorrectly.” In an apparent effort to rectify these issues with her initial report, Dr. Burch states in her rebuttal report that she now thinks that the CPS data — which she relied upon to support the voter turnout opinions in her initial report — “is not reliable as a benchmark for voter turnout” or “for voter turnout by race.” Dr. Burch further asserts in her rebuttal report that “Dr. Swanson’s analysis is flawed” as it relates to voter turnout by race because he, too, used the CPS data in formulating his opinions. Further, in her rebuttal report, Dr. Burch states that she has “conducted additional analyses which employed alternative methods of looking at voter turnout by race.” These analyses, which include the “logit regression analysis” are new and are purportedly

2 The Defendants served the expert reports on January 6, 2023, which was later than originally ordered in the Case Management Order [47] but consistent with a previously-granted extension. See [73]. predicated on data obtained from the “2020 Cooperative Election Study (CES)” (“CES data”). The CES is a set of data that is nowhere used or identified in Dr. Burch’s initial report. The logit regression analysis, as newly employed by Dr. Burch to analyze the newly identified CES data, resulted in new regression tables and probability statistics related to voter turnout by race, and Dr. Burch uses this new analysis in her rebuttal report to bolster her opinion “that Black voter turnout is lower than white turnout.” Additionally, Dr. Burch states in her rebuttal report that “[t]o further bolster [her] CES analysis,” she is presenting “a second method of estimating the racial gap in turnout” — namely, “ecological inference (EI)” (“EI”). She describes EI as “us[ing] Bayesian statistical methods to estimate voting behavior.” No such EI analysis appears in Dr. Burch’s initial report, but in her rebuttal report she nevertheless asserts that her initial opinions are supported by her newly performed EI analysis using newly identified CES data. Dr. Burch’s “rebuttal” report also purports to bolster her opinion regarding voter wait times, which she asserts affect voter turnout. And again, to do so she relies exclusively on her newly performed analysis of newly identified CES data.

[140] at p. 3-4. Dr. Orey’s rebuttal report similarly added new analyses. He explained in his rebuttal report that he had conducted new EI and empirical analyses which supported and further bolstered his original opinion that the outcome of a non-partisan election could not be driven by partisanship. The Defendants took issue with these rebuttal reports. They filed a Motion to Strike [119], requesting that the Court fully strike Dr. Burch’s rebuttal report and a portion of Dr. Orey’s rebuttal report (and his corrected rebuttal report). The Plaintiffs responded in opposition. On April 14, 2023, Magistrate Judge Virden entered an Order [140] taking a nuanced approach to the issue. In that Order [140], Magistrate Judge Virden concluded (correctly) that the relevant rebuttal opinions exceed the scope of permissible expert rebuttal or supplementation under Rule 26. However, rather than striking the rebuttal opinions, Magistrate Judge Virden proposed a compromise. Her Order [140] concluded as follows: Accordingly, it is therefore ordered that Plaintiffs shall have seven (7) business days in which to both move for a trial continuance and stipulate that, should it be granted, they will be responsible for reasonable expert fees and costs actually incurred by Defendants in having their experts respond to the untimely rebuttal opinions of Drs. Burch and Orey. Should Plaintiffs fail to do either, or both, the motion to strike the “rebuttal” reports will be granted effective on the 8th business day from the date of this Order.

[140] at p. 13 (emphasis omitted). When given this option, the Plaintiffs immediately agreed to seek a trial continuance and to pay reasonable fees and costs that the Defendants incurred in having their experts respond to the improper rebuttal opinions. In fact, in their Motion for Continuance [143], the Plaintiffs specifically represented as follows: “Plaintiffs further hereby represent and stipulate, pursuant to and in compliance with the terms of the April 14 Order, that they will be responsible for reasonable expert fees and costs actually incurred in preparing such sur-rebuttal reports.” [143] at p. 2.3 A continuance was granted, and Dr. Swanson and Dr. Bonneau prepared their surrebuttal reports. The Defendants then, consistent with the Court’s previous ruling authorizing them to recover fees and costs, filed a Motion for Payment of Fees and Costs [167].

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