RILEY, Chief Judge.
Shane Perry, William Goebel, Matthew McCormick, and Angela Ohl-Marsters (collectively, appellees) sued the Catholic Archdiocese of St. Louis (appellant). Appellees allege one of appellant’s priests, Rev. Robert Johnston, sexually abused them when they were children. As relevant here, two counts in each of appellees’ governing complaints assert Missouri common law claims against appellant for negligent hiring, and for negligent retention and supervision (collectively, the negligence claims).
Appellant moved to dismiss the negligence claims under Fed.R.Civ.P. 12(b)(6). Appellant relied principally on
Gibson v.
Brewer,
952 S.W.2d 239, 246-48 (Mo.1997), in which the Supreme Court of Missouri affirmed the dismissal of some materially indistinguishable claims (the
Gibson
negligence claims). Pointing to the district court’s diversity jurisdiction and invoking the
Erie
doctrine, appellant argued the district court was bound to apply
Gibson
and dismiss the negligence claims.
See Erie R. Co. v. Tompkins,
304 U.S. 64, 78, 58 S.Ct. 817, 82 L.Ed. 1188 (1938) (holding a federal court sitting in diversity is bound by the decisions of the state’s highest court).
The district court largely denied the motion, reasoning
Gibson
presented a federal question and a federal court is not bound to follow
Gibson
under
Erie.
Specifically, the district court, citing
Aftanase v. Econ. Baler Co.,
343 F.2d 187, 192-93 (8th Cir.1965), construed
Gibson
to hold the First Amendment barred the
Gibson
negligence claims to forestall excessive entanglement between church and state but — concluding
Gibson
wrongly interpreted the First Amendment — the district court “perform[ed] its own First Amendment analysis” and declined to adopt the Supreme Court of Missouri’s reasoning.
Appellant moved for interlocutory review, which we granted.
See
28 U.S.C. § 1292(b). We then consolidated the four cases before us for purposes of briefing and argument.
I. DISCUSSION
On appeal, the parties continue to disagree as to the nature of the analysis in
Gibson.
Appellant insists
Gibson
“represents the substantive common law of Missouri binding on the district court under the
Erie
doctrine.” Quoting one commentator, appellant asserts
Gibson
advances the principle that “each state has the option of creating or failing to create the cause of action in which the federal question has become absorbed.”
See
Ronald J. Greene,
Hybrid State Law in the Federal Courts,
83 Harv. L. Rev. 289, 293 (1969). Following the district court, appellees maintain
Gibson
answered a federal question in the affirmative, namely, whether the First Amendment prohibited Missouri state courts from entertaining the
Gibson
negligence claims.
See, e.g., Gibson,
952 S.W.2d at 246-47 (reasoning “[questions of hiring, ordaining, and retaining clergy ... necessarily involve interpretation of religious doctrine, policy, and administration” and thus foster “excessive entanglement between church and state” with “the effect of inhibiting religion, in violation of the First Amendment”).
Determining whether a state court decision rested on federal or state law grounds is sometimes a difficult question.
Cf. Michigan v. Long,
463 U.S. 1032, 1038-39 & n. 4, 103 S.Ct. 3469, 77 L.Ed.2d 1201 (1983) (discussing the difficulties in analyzing whether a state court decision rested on adequate and independent state grounds). We need not settle the parties’ disagreement in these consolidated appeals, because reversal is required under either construction of
Gibson.
If appellant is correct and
Gibson
merely defined the contours of Missouri negligence law to exclude claims for the unreasonable hiring, retention and supervision of clergy, then
Erie
controls,
Gibson
governs, and appellees lose.
“Erie
mandates that a federal court sitting in diversity apply the substantive law of the forum State, absent a federal statutory or constitutional directive to the contrary.”
Salve Regina Coll. v. Russell,
499 U.S. 225, 226, 111 S.Ct. 1217, 113 L.Ed.2d 190 (1991) (citing
Erie,
304 U.S. at 78, 58 S.Ct. 817 and 28 U.S.C. § 1652). In that event, the district court was not authorized to second-guess a substantive decision of the Supreme Court of Missouri.
See Blanken
ship v. USA Truck, Inc.,
601 F.3d 852, 856 (8th Cir.2010).
If appellees are correct and
Gibson
entertained a federal question, namely, whether the First Amendment barred causes of action materially indistinguishable from the negligence claims, there is no
Erie
problem in the first instance. But an impassable hurdle nonetheless blocks appellees’ recovery on the negligence claims: the Missouri Constitution.
Erie
then reappears.
In
dictum, Gibson
reiterated the principle “ ‘that the provisions of the Missouri Constitution declaring that there shall be a separation of church and state are not only more explicit but more restrictive’ than the First Amendment.”
Gibson,
952 S.W.2d at 246 (quoting
Paster v. Tussey,
512 S.W.2d 97, 101-02 (Mo.1974) (en banc)). Even if the First Amendment does not bar appellees’ negligence claims, a latent
Erie
issue arises, whether the Missouri Constitution bars the negligence claims. The district court sidestepped the Missouri Constitution application, reasoning:
The
Gibson
decision was based solely on the First Amendment. Had the
Gibson
court found that the negligence-based claims would have also been barred under an alternative, purely state law basis, then the Court would be obligated to abide by that decision. However, the
Gibson
court explicitly noted that its decision was not based on the religious clauses of the Missouri Constitution.
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RILEY, Chief Judge.
Shane Perry, William Goebel, Matthew McCormick, and Angela Ohl-Marsters (collectively, appellees) sued the Catholic Archdiocese of St. Louis (appellant). Appellees allege one of appellant’s priests, Rev. Robert Johnston, sexually abused them when they were children. As relevant here, two counts in each of appellees’ governing complaints assert Missouri common law claims against appellant for negligent hiring, and for negligent retention and supervision (collectively, the negligence claims).
Appellant moved to dismiss the negligence claims under Fed.R.Civ.P. 12(b)(6). Appellant relied principally on
Gibson v.
Brewer,
952 S.W.2d 239, 246-48 (Mo.1997), in which the Supreme Court of Missouri affirmed the dismissal of some materially indistinguishable claims (the
Gibson
negligence claims). Pointing to the district court’s diversity jurisdiction and invoking the
Erie
doctrine, appellant argued the district court was bound to apply
Gibson
and dismiss the negligence claims.
See Erie R. Co. v. Tompkins,
304 U.S. 64, 78, 58 S.Ct. 817, 82 L.Ed. 1188 (1938) (holding a federal court sitting in diversity is bound by the decisions of the state’s highest court).
The district court largely denied the motion, reasoning
Gibson
presented a federal question and a federal court is not bound to follow
Gibson
under
Erie.
Specifically, the district court, citing
Aftanase v. Econ. Baler Co.,
343 F.2d 187, 192-93 (8th Cir.1965), construed
Gibson
to hold the First Amendment barred the
Gibson
negligence claims to forestall excessive entanglement between church and state but — concluding
Gibson
wrongly interpreted the First Amendment — the district court “perform[ed] its own First Amendment analysis” and declined to adopt the Supreme Court of Missouri’s reasoning.
Appellant moved for interlocutory review, which we granted.
See
28 U.S.C. § 1292(b). We then consolidated the four cases before us for purposes of briefing and argument.
I. DISCUSSION
On appeal, the parties continue to disagree as to the nature of the analysis in
Gibson.
Appellant insists
Gibson
“represents the substantive common law of Missouri binding on the district court under the
Erie
doctrine.” Quoting one commentator, appellant asserts
Gibson
advances the principle that “each state has the option of creating or failing to create the cause of action in which the federal question has become absorbed.”
See
Ronald J. Greene,
Hybrid State Law in the Federal Courts,
83 Harv. L. Rev. 289, 293 (1969). Following the district court, appellees maintain
Gibson
answered a federal question in the affirmative, namely, whether the First Amendment prohibited Missouri state courts from entertaining the
Gibson
negligence claims.
See, e.g., Gibson,
952 S.W.2d at 246-47 (reasoning “[questions of hiring, ordaining, and retaining clergy ... necessarily involve interpretation of religious doctrine, policy, and administration” and thus foster “excessive entanglement between church and state” with “the effect of inhibiting religion, in violation of the First Amendment”).
Determining whether a state court decision rested on federal or state law grounds is sometimes a difficult question.
Cf. Michigan v. Long,
463 U.S. 1032, 1038-39 & n. 4, 103 S.Ct. 3469, 77 L.Ed.2d 1201 (1983) (discussing the difficulties in analyzing whether a state court decision rested on adequate and independent state grounds). We need not settle the parties’ disagreement in these consolidated appeals, because reversal is required under either construction of
Gibson.
If appellant is correct and
Gibson
merely defined the contours of Missouri negligence law to exclude claims for the unreasonable hiring, retention and supervision of clergy, then
Erie
controls,
Gibson
governs, and appellees lose.
“Erie
mandates that a federal court sitting in diversity apply the substantive law of the forum State, absent a federal statutory or constitutional directive to the contrary.”
Salve Regina Coll. v. Russell,
499 U.S. 225, 226, 111 S.Ct. 1217, 113 L.Ed.2d 190 (1991) (citing
Erie,
304 U.S. at 78, 58 S.Ct. 817 and 28 U.S.C. § 1652). In that event, the district court was not authorized to second-guess a substantive decision of the Supreme Court of Missouri.
See Blanken
ship v. USA Truck, Inc.,
601 F.3d 852, 856 (8th Cir.2010).
If appellees are correct and
Gibson
entertained a federal question, namely, whether the First Amendment barred causes of action materially indistinguishable from the negligence claims, there is no
Erie
problem in the first instance. But an impassable hurdle nonetheless blocks appellees’ recovery on the negligence claims: the Missouri Constitution.
Erie
then reappears.
In
dictum, Gibson
reiterated the principle “ ‘that the provisions of the Missouri Constitution declaring that there shall be a separation of church and state are not only more explicit but more restrictive’ than the First Amendment.”
Gibson,
952 S.W.2d at 246 (quoting
Paster v. Tussey,
512 S.W.2d 97, 101-02 (Mo.1974) (en banc)). Even if the First Amendment does not bar appellees’ negligence claims, a latent
Erie
issue arises, whether the Missouri Constitution bars the negligence claims. The district court sidestepped the Missouri Constitution application, reasoning:
The
Gibson
decision was based solely on the First Amendment. Had the
Gibson
court found that the negligence-based claims would have also been barred under an alternative, purely state law basis, then the Court would be obligated to abide by that decision. However, the
Gibson
court explicitly noted that its decision was not based on the religious clauses of the Missouri Constitution. And although the court indicated that [ ] Missouri’s religious clauses are, generally, “more restrictive” than the First Amendment, it is not clear from either the
Gibson
opinion, or the text of the religious clauses themselves, that plaintiffs claims would be barred by the Missouri Constitution. Therefore, the Court will perform its own First Amendment analysis in determining whether each of plaintiffs claims should be dismissed.
(citations omitted).
Appellant now asserts its Missouri Constitution defense, arguing the district court failed in its duty under
Erie
to predict what the Supreme Court of Missouri would hold were its First Amendment analysis wrong.
See, e.g., Blankenship,
601 F.3d at 856 (“When there is no state supreme court case directly on point, our role is to predict how the state supreme court would rule if faced with the same issue before us. In other words, we must make an
‘Erie-educated
guess’ when the law of the forum state is not crystal clear.” (citations and internal marks omitted)). Appellees’ briefs do not respond to appellant’s Missouri Constitution argument.
Assuming the district court correctly held
Gibson
advanced a faulty First Amendment analysis,
the district court erred in failing to predict the impact of the Missouri Constitution upon the negligence claims. Because the Supreme Court of
Missouri in
Gibson
(1) indicated the First Amendment was a complete defense to the negligence claims, and (2) reiterated the religious freedom provisions of the Missouri Constitution are broader than those of the First Amendment, it seems highly likely the Supreme Court of Missouri would bar the negligence claims under the Missouri Constitution, if its First Amendment analysis were later abrogated by the Supreme Court of the United States.
II. CONCLUSION
We reverse and remand for dismissal of the negligence claims, as well as for further proceedings consistent with this opinion.