Mecinas v. Hobbs

District Court, D. Arizona·Decided June 25, 2020·No. 2:19-cv-05547·Unknown

Opinion

WO

Brian Mecinas, et al., No. CV-19-05547-PHX-DJH

Plaintiffs, ORDER

v.

Katie Hobbs,

Defendant. This matter is before the Court on Plaintiffs’ Motion for Preliminary Injunction (Doc. 14) and Defendant’s Motion to Dismiss the First Amended Complaint (Doc. 26). Plaintiffs seek declaratory and injunctive relief pursuant to 28 U.S.C. §§ 2201 and 2202. (Doc. 13). The Court held oral argument on the Motion to Dismiss and an evidentiary hearing on the Motion for Preliminary Injunction on March 4, 5, and 10, 2020 (“Hearing”), and took both Motions under advisement. (Docs. 49, 52, and 55). I. Background This case involves the constitutionality of Arizona’s general election ballot ordering statute, A.R.S. § 16-502(E) (the “Ballot Order Statute”). The Ballot Order Statute, enacted in 1979, will be utilized for the twentieth time in the November 2020 general election. The Ballot Order Statute establishes the order in which candidates appear on the ballot in each of Arizona’s fifteen counties.1 Names of candidates are listed according to their political

1 The Statue was enacted in 1979 as a part of a comprehensive elections code agreed to by the Arizona Democratic and Republican parties and the County Recorders Association. The Statute, which has periodically been modified over time with participation of the 15 County Recorders, aims to “help the County Recorders and Election Directors do a better party, “in descending order according to the votes cast for governor for that county in the most recent general election for the office of governor.” A.R.S. § 16-502(E). Therefore, candidates of the political party that received the most votes in the most recent gubernatorial election in that county appear first in all races and on all ballots in that county. Id. This has generally led to Republican candidates being listed first in some counties, and Democratic candidates being listed first in other counties in any given general election.2 A three-letter political party identification—DEM for Democrat and REP for Republican— is listed next to each candidate’s name regardless of the candidate’s position on the ballot. A.R.S. § 16-502(C). This identification provides voters with visual cues when searching for their preferred party on the ballot. A. The Parties Plaintiffs in this matter include three Arizona voters, Brian Mecinas, Carolyn Vasko, and Patti Serrano (collectively the “Voter Plaintiffs”), and three organizations, the Democratic National Committee (“DNC”), the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (“DSCC”), and PRIORITIES USA (“Priorities”), a political action committee (collectively the “Organizational Plaintiffs”). (Doc. 13). Plaintiffs contend that a “well- documented phenomena” known as “position bias” or “primacy effect” exists in elections of all kinds throughout the country. Plaintiffs define position bias as the “significant electoral advantage” gained by the first-listed candidate “merely from being listed first.” (Doc. 14 at 5). They allege that candidates in Arizona who are listed first on the ballot obtain “several percentage points” more than those candidates not listed first. Id. While Plaintiffs acknowledge that the Ballot Order Statute could theoretically equally distribute the number of times a candidate from each party appears first, they argue that this could never happen in Arizona because the population is not equally divided between counties. The Voter Plaintiffs allege that the Ballot Order Statute injures them, other Arizona

job and save public money.” Ariz. H.R. Comm. Min., S.B. 1372 (Mar. 1, 2000).

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