Chief Justice JEFFERSON
delivered the opinion of the Court.
Nearly ten years ago, we observed that asbestos litigation had reached maturity.
In re Ethyl Corp.,
975 S.W.2d 606, 610 (Tex.1998). Even mature claims evolve, however, and courts have continued to struggle with the appropriate parameters for lawsuits alleging asbestos-related injuries.
While science has confirmed the
threat posed by asbestos, we have not had the occasion to decide whether a person’s exposure to “some” respirable fibers is sufficient to show that a product containing asbestos was a substantial factor in causing asbestosis. Because we conclude that it is not, we reverse the court of appeals’ judgment and render judgment for the petitioner.
I
Factual and Procedural Background
Sixty-six-year-old Arturo Flores is a retired brake mechanic. Flores spent much of his working life — from 1966 until his retirement in 2001 — in the automotive department at Sears in Corpus Christi. While there, Flores handled several brands of brake pads, including those manufactured by Borg-Warner.
Flores used Borg-Warner pads from 1972-75, on five to seven of the roughly twenty brake jobs he performed each week.
Borg-Warner disk brake pads contained chrysotile
asbestos fibers, fibers that comprised seven to twenty-eight percent of the pad’s weight, depending on the particular type of pad. Flores’s job involved grinding the pads so that they would not squeal. The grinding generated clouds of dust that Flores inhaled while working in a room that measured roughly eight by ten feet.
Flores sued Borg-Warner and others, alleging that he suffered from asbestosis caused by working with brakes for more than three decades. At the week-long trial, Flores presented the testimony of two experts, Dr. Dinah Bukowski, a board-certified pulmonologist, and Dr. Barry Castle-man, Ph.D., an “independent consultant in ... the field of toxic substance control.” Dr. Bukowski examined Flores on a single occasion in May 2001. She reviewed Flores’s x-rays, which revealed interstitial lung disease. Although there are more than 100 causes (including smoking) of such disease, Dr. Bukowski diagnosed Flores with asbestosis, based on his work as a brake mechanic coupled with an adequate latency period. According to Dr. Bukowski, asbestosis is “a form of interstitial lung disease, one of the scarring processes of the lungs caused from the inhalation of asbestos and found on biopsy to show areas of scarring in association with actual asbestos bodies or asbestos fibers.”
Dr. Bukowski noted that asbestosis can be fatal and is progressive, meaning that the scar tissue increases over time. Once inhaled, the fibers cannot be expelled, and there is no known cure for asbestosis. She asserted that Flores’s asbestosis could worsen; that he could suffer
stiffening of his lungs, loss of lung volume, and difficulty with oxygenation. She acknowledged that everyone is exposed to asbestos in the ambient ah*; “it’s very plentiful in the environment, if you’re a typical urban dweller.” She conceded that Flores’s pulmonary function tests showed mild obstructive lung disease, which was unrelated to asbestos exposure.
Barry Castleman, Ph.D. testified that he has written numerous articles in peer-reviewed journals, as well as a book entitled
Asbestos: Medical and Legal Aspects.
Chapter 8, titled “Asbestos Disease in Brake Repair Workers,” discusses asbestos-related risks to brake mechanics, “a long term interest of [his]” and reviews the published and some unpublished literature on asbestos as a hazard to brake mechanics. Dr. Castleman did not conduct independent research regarding the brake industry; instead, his research involved “look[ing] at what was publicly available.” Dr. Castleman testified that “brake mechanics can be exposed [to asbestos] by grinding of brake pads or — or brake shoes and by — in the case of brake lining blowing out the accumulated dust in the brake — in the brake housing in doing a brake servicing/brake repair job.” He described a conference on the hazards of brake repair held by Ford of Britain in 1969 and published in 1970 in the Annals of Occupational Hygiene. That conference evaluated the levels of exposure to asbestos fiber in the air from brake servicing jobs, and “it showed that the levels of exposure could be ... significant. They might not have necessarily exceeded the allowable exposure limits of the day, but in some cases, at least, they came close to doing that.” Dr. Castleman then described some of the literature pertaining to mechanics in particular: a 1965 article that reported a case of mesothelioma in a “garage hand and chauffeur”; information published by the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health warning about dangers to brake mechanics, emphasizing that grinding of brake parts was a hazardous job with high levels of asbestos exposure; and a 1978 brochure published by the Friction Material Standards Institute (FMSI), “a vehicle for companies in that subgroup of the asbestos industry to avail themselves of knowledge relating to the hazards and government regulation of their products in the years following 1968,” warning brake mechanics about the dangers of asbestos. The FMSI brochure led Dr. Castleman to conclude “that the hazards to brake mechanics were effectively accepted by the asbestos manufacturers— asbestos product manufacturers by that time.”
Dr. Castleman testified that a 1968 article determined that “most of the asbestos in brake linings is destroyed by the heat of friction and therefore is not released to the public aii* as asbestos fiber.” But “some of the asbestos was found to survive the heated friction of the braking process.” When questioned about whether friable
asbestos remained, Dr. Castleman testified that “[r]espirable asbestos fibers still remain,” and a brake mechanic could be exposed to those fibers “[e]ither by grinding brake parts or by blowing out brake housings doing brake servicing work.” On cross-examination, Dr. Castleman conceded that he had not researched Borg-Warner products and did not have any specific knowledge about them. While he knew that Borg-Warner manufactured brake pads, he did not “have any more detailed knowledge about the company than that.”
Flores admitted to smoking from the time he was twenty-five until three weeks prior to trial. Flores’s cardiologist reported a 50-pack year
smoking history, greater than the 15 to 20-pack year history Flores reported to Dr. Bukowski. At the time of trial, Flores’s chief medical complaint was shortness of breath, which he testified manifested itself primarily after he had been mowing the lawn for 35-40 minutes. Flores also suffers from coronary artery disease and high cholesterol.
Borg-Warner’s expert, pulmonologist Dr. Kathryn Hale, examined Flores and testified that, in her opinion, he did not have asbestosis and that his x-rays did not show “any asbestos disease.” She also testified that she had reviewed the literature, including epidemiological studies involving brake mechanics, and had not seen any articles indicating that auto mechanics suffered an increased risk of lung cancer or mesothelioma. She acknowledged that Flores’s medical records included an x-ray report from a NIOSH certified B-reader
physician who opined that Flores had “bilateral interstitial fibrotic changes consistent with asbestosis in a patient who has had an adequate exposure history and latency period,” but Hale testified that she relied on criteria promulgated by the American Thoracic Society, and under those criteria, Flores did not have asbestosis.
The jury found that (1) Flores sustained an asbestos-related injury or disease; (2) Borg-Warner’s negligence (as well as that of three other settling defendants) proximately caused Flores’s asbestos-related injury or disease; (3) all four defendants were “engaged in the business of selling brake products”; and (4) the brake products had marketing, manufacturing, and design defects, each of which was a producing cause of Flores’s injury. The jury apportioned to Borg-Warner 37% of the causation and 21% to each of the other three defendants. The jury awarded Flores $34,000 for future physical impairment, $34,000 for future medical care, $12,000 for past physicál pain and mental anguish, and $34,000 for future physical pain and mental anguish.
In the second phase of the bifurcated trial, the jury found, by clear and convincing evidence, that Flores’s injury resulted from malice and awarded $55,000 in exemplary damages against Borg-Warner. The trial court signed a judgment in conformity with the verdict, and Borg-Warner appealed.
The court of appeals affirmed, holding that there was legally sufficient evidence of negligence, citing the following:
(1) Flores was a mechanic from 1964 to 2001; (2) as a mechanic, Flores ground new brake pads prior to installation, a process necessary to minimize “brake squealing”; (3) the grinding process produced visible dust, which Flores inhaled;
(4) from 1972 to 1975, Flores ground brake pads manufactured by Borg-Warner; (5) Borg-Warner’s brake pads contained between seven and twenty-eight percent asbestos by weight; (6) in 1998, Flores was diagnosed with asbestosis;
(7) Dr. Castleman testified that brake mechanics can be exposed to asbestos by grinding brake pads, a process which produces “respirable asbestos fibers”;
(8) Dr. Bukowski testified that “brake dust has been shown to ... have asbestos fibers”; and (9) Dr. Bukowski also testified that “brake dust can cause asbestosis.”
153 S.W.3d 209, 213-214. Borg-Warner petitioned for review arguing, among other things, that a plaintiff claiming to be injured by an asbestos-containing product must meet the same causation standards that other plaintiffs do.
We granted the petition. 49 Tex. Sup.Ct. J. 509 (Apr. 21, 2006).
II
Discussion
A
Causation
Perhaps the most widely cited standard for proving causation in asbestos cases is the
Lohrmann
“frequency, regularity, and proximity” test.
Lohrmann v. Pittsburgh Coming Corp.,
782 F.2d 1156 (4th Cir. 1986);
see also Slaughter v. Southern Talc Co.,
949 F.2d 167, 171 (5th Cir.1991) (noting that
Lohrmann
is “[t]he most frequently used test for causation in asbestos cases” and applying
Lohrmann
to an asbestos claim governed by Texas law). In
Lohrmann,
the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals considered whether a trial court correctly directed a verdict in favor of four asbestos manufacturers, after determining that there was insufficient evidence of causation between use of their products and the plaintiffs’ asbestosis.
Id.
at 1162-63. The appellate court noted that, under Maryland law, proximate cause required evidence that “allow[ed] the jury to reasonably conclude that it is more likely than not that the conduct of the defendant was a substantial factor in bringing about the result.”
Id.
at 1162 (noting that section 431 of the Restatement (Second) of Torts uses the same “substantial factor” test). The court rejected a standard “that if the plaintiff can present any evidence that a company’s asbestos-containing product was at the workplace while the plaintiff was at the workplace, a jury question has been established as to whether that product” proximately caused the plaintiffs disease, as such a rule would be “contrary to the Maryland law of substantial causation.”
Id.
at 1163. Instead, the court concluded that “[t]o support a reasonable inference of substantial causation from circumstantial evidence, there must be evidence of exposure to a specific product on a regular basis over some extended period of time in proximity to where the plaintiff actually worked.”
Id.
at 1162-63. The court noted that “[i]n effect, this is a
de minimis
rule since a plaintiff must prove more than a
casual or minimum contact with the product. This is a reasonable rule when one considers the Maryland law of substantial causation and the unusual nature of the asbestosis disease process, which can take years of exposure to produce the disease.”
Id.
at 1162.
We have not adopted the
Lohrmann
test, and several amici urge us to do so here. The parties contend that our precedent adequately addresses the issue, as it requires that a party’s conduct or product be a substantial factor in causing harm. We agree, with
Lohrmann,
that a “frequency, regularity, and proximity” test is appropriate, but those terms do not, in themselves, capture the emphasis our jurisprudence has placed on causation as an essential predicate to liability. It is important to emphasize that the
Lohrmann
court did not restrict its analysis to the tripartite phrase; indeed, it agreed that Restatement section 431 requires that the exposure be a “substantial factor” in causing the disease.
Id.
That analysis comports with our cases. For example, Restatement section 431’s “substantial factor” test has informed our causation analysis on several occasions.
See Lear Siegler, Inc. v. Perez,
819 S.W.2d 470, 471 (Tex.1991);
see also Union Pump Co. v. Allbritton,
898 S.W.2d 773, 775-777 (Tex.1995). We have recognized that “[cjommon to both proximate and producing cause is causation in fact, including the requirement that the defendant’s conduct or product be a substantial factor in bringing about the plaintiffs injuries.”
Union Pump,
898 S.W.2d at 775. “The word ‘substantial’ is used to denote the fact that the defendant’s conduct has such an effect in producing the harm as to lead reasonable men to regard it as a cause, using that word in the popular sense, in which there always lurks the idea of responsibility, rather than in the so-called ‘philosophic sense,’ which includes every one of the great number of events without which any happening would not have occurred.”
Lear Siegler,
819 S.W.2d at 472 (quoting RESTATEMENT (SECOND) OF TORTS § 431 cmt. a (1965)). In asbestos cases, then, we must determine whether the asbestos in the defendant’s product was a substantial factor in bringing about the plaintiffs injuries.
One of toxicology’s central tenets is that “the dose makes the poison.” BernáRD D. Goldstein & Mary Sue Henifin,
Reference Guide on Toxicology, in
Federal Judicial Center, Referenoe Manual On SoientifiC EvidenCe 401, 403 (2d ed.2000) (hereafter “Reference Manual”). This notion was first attributed to sixteenth century philosopher-physician Paracelsus, who stated that “[a]ll substances are poisonous — there is none which is not; the dose differentiates a poison from a remedy.” David L. Eaton,
Scientific Judgment and Toxic Torts
— A
Primer in Toxicology for Judges and Lawyers,
12 J.L.
&
POL’Y 5 (2003) (citing Curtis D. Klaassen, Casarett and DoULL’s TOXICOLOGY: THE BASIC SCIENCE Of Poisons Chs. 1, 4 (McGraw Hill 6th ed.2001) (1975)). Even water, in sufficient doses, can be toxic. Reference Manual at 403;
see also
Marc Fisher,
Radio Stations and the Promotional Games: A Fatal Attraction,
WASH. POST, Feb. 25, 2007, at N02,
available at
http://www. washingtonpost. com/wp-dyn/content/arti-cle/2007/02/23/AR2007022300456.html (describing woman’s death from water intoxication after participating in radio contest to win a video-game system).
Dose “refers to the amount of chemical that enters the body,” and, according to one commentator, is “the single most important factor to consider in evaluating whether an alleged exposure caused a specific adverse effect.” Eaton,
Scientific Judgment and Toxic Torts,
12 J.L. & POL’Y at 11. We have recognized that “[ejxposure to asbestos, a known carcino
gen, is never healthy but fortunately does not always result in disease.”
Temple-Inland Forest Prods. Corp. v. Carter,
993 S.W.2d 88, 95 (Tex.1999). We have held that epidemiological studies are without evidentiary significance if the injured person cannot show that “the exposure or dose levels were comparable to or greater than those in the studies.”
Merrell Dow Pharms., Inc. v. Earner,
953, S.W.2d 706, 720-21 (Tex.1997). The federal Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence provides:
An opinion on causation should be premised on three preliminary assessments. First, the expert should analyze whether the disease can be related to chemical exposure by a biologically plausible theory. Second, the expert should examine if the plaintiff was exposed to the chemical in a manner that can lead to absorption into the body. Third, the expert should offer an opinion as to whether the dose to which the plaintiff was exposed is sufficient to cause the disease.
Reference Manual at 419.
Dr. Castleman testified that, despite the heat generated by braking, “some asbestos,” in the form of respirable fibers, remained in the brake pads, and that brake mechanics could be exposed to those fibers when grinding the pads or blowing out the housings. Flores testified that grinding the pads generated dust, which he inhaled. Dr. Bukowski testified that every asbestos exposure contributes to asbestosis. There is no question, on this record, that mechanics in the braking industry could be exposed to respirable asbestos fibers. But without more, this testimony is insufficient to establish that the Borg-Warner brake pads were a substantial factor in causing Flores’s disease. Asbestosis appears to be dose-related, “so that the more one is exposed, the more likely the disease is to occur, and the higher the exposure the more severe the disease is likely to be.”
See
3 David L. Faigman et al., Modern Soientific Evidence: the Law and Soienoe of Expert Testimony § 28:22, at 447 (2007);
cf. id.
§ 28:5, at 416 (noting that “it is generally accepted that one may develop mesothelio-ma from low levels of asbestos exposure”). While “[sjevere cases [of asbestosis] are usually the result of long-term, high-level exposure to asbestos, ... ‘ [e]vidence of asbestosis has been found many years after relatively brief but extremely heavy exposure.’” Stephen J. Carroll et al., Rand Institute For Civil Justice, Asbestos Litigation 13 (2005) (citing American Thoracic Society,
The Diagnosis of Nonmalignant Diseases Related to Asbestos: 1996 Update: Official Statement of the American Thoracic Society,
134 Am. Rev. Respiratory Disease 363, 363-68 (1996)). One text notes that:
There is general agreement from epide-miologic studies that the development of asbestosis requires heavy exposure to asbestos ... in the range of 25 to 100 fibers per cubic centimeter-year. Accordingly, asbestosis is usually observed in individuals who have had many years of high-level exposure, typically asbestos miners and millers, asbestos textile workers, and asbestos insulators.
Andrew Churg,
Nonneoplastic Disease Caused by Asbestos, in
Pathology of Occupational Lung Disease 277, 313 (Andrew Churg & Francis H.Y. Green eds., Williams & Wilkins 1998) (1988).
This record, however, reveals nothing about how much asbestos Flores might have inhaled. He performed about fifteen to twenty brake jobs a week for over thirty years, and was therefore exposed to “some asbestos” on a fairly regular basis for an extended period of time. Nevertheless, absent any evidence of dose, the jury could not evaluate the quantity of respirable asbestos to which Flores might have been
exposed or whether those amounts were sufficient to cause asbestosis. Nor did Flores introduce evidence regarding what percentage of that indeterminate amount may have originated in Borg-Warner products. We do not know the asbestos content of other brands of brake pads or how much of Flores’s exposure came from grinding new pads as opposed to blowing out old ones.
There were no epidemiological studies
showing that brake mechanics face at least a doubled risk of asbestosis.
See Merrell Dow Pharms., Inc. v. Havner,
953 S.W.2d 706, 715 (Tex.1997). While such studies are not necessary to prove causation, we have recognized that “properly designed and executed epidemiological studies may be part of the evidence supporting causation in a toxic tort case,” and “the requirement of more than a doubling of the risk strikes a balance between the needs of our legal system and the limits of science.”
Id.
at 717-18. Thus, while some respirable fibers may be released upon grinding some brake pads, the sparse record here contains no evidence of the approximate quantum of Borg-Warner fibers to which Flores was exposed, and whether this sufficiently contributed to the aggregate dose of asbestos Flores inhaled, such that it could be considered a substantial factor in causing his asbestosis.
Union Pump,
898 S.W.2d at 775;
see also Rutherford v. Owens-Illinois, Inc.,
16 Cal.4th 953, 67 Cal.Rptr.2d 16, 941 P.2d 1203, 1219 (Cal.1997).
Thus, a literal application of
Lohrmann
leaves questions unanswered in cases like this. The evidence showed that Flores worked in a small room, grinding brake pads composed partially of embedded asbestos fibers, five to seven times per week over a four year period — seemingly satisfying
Lohrmann’s
frequency-regularity-proximity test. Implicit in that test, however, must be a requirement that asbestos fibers were released in an amount sufficient to cause Flores’s asbestosis, or the
de minimis
standard
Lohrmann
purported to establish would be eliminated, and the
Union Pump
causation standard would not be met. In a case like this, proof of mere frequency, regularity, and proximity is necessary but not sufficient, as it provides none of the quantitative information necessary to support causation under Texas law.
We recognize the proof difficulties accompanying asbestos claims. The long latency period for asbestos-related diseases, coupled with the inability to trace precisely which fibers caused disease and from whose product they emanated, make this process inexact.
Rutherford,
67 Cal. Rptr.2d 16, 941 P.2d at 1218 (acknowledging that lengthy latency periods “mean that memories are often dim and records missing or incomplete regarding the use and distribution of specific products” and “[i]n some industries, many different asbestos-containing products have been used, often including several similar products at the same time periods and worksites”). The Supreme Court of California has grappled with the appropriate causation standard in a case involving alleged asbestos-related cancer and acknowledged the difficulties in proof accompanying such claims:
Plaintiffs cannot be expected to prove the scientifically unknown details of carcinogenesis, or trace the unknowable path of a given asbestos fiber.... [W]e
can bridge this gap in the humanly knowable by holding that plaintiffs may prove causation in asbestos-related cancer cases by demonstrating that the plaintiffs exposure to defendant’s asbestos-containing product in reasonable medical probability was a substantial factor in contributing to the aggregate
dose
of asbestos the plaintiff or decedent inhaled or ingested, and hence to the
risk of
developing asbestos-related cancer, without the need to demonstrate that fibers from the defendant’s particular product were the ones, or among the ones, that
actually
produced the malignant growth.
Rutherford,
67 Cal.Rptr.2d 16, 941 P.2d at 1219.
Thus, substantial-factor causation, which separates the speculative from the probable, need not be reduced to mathematical precision. Defendant-specific evidence relating to the approximate dose to which the plaintiff was exposed, coupled with evidence that the dose was a substantial factor in causing the asbestos-related disease, will suffice. As one commentator notes, “[i]t is not adequate to simply establish that ‘some’ exposure occurred. Because most chemically induced adverse health effects clearly demonstrate ‘thresholds,’ there must be reasonable evidence that the exposure was of sufficient magnitude to exceed the threshold before a likelihood of ‘causation’ can be inferred.” Eaton, 12 J.L. & Pol’y at 39. Dr. Bukowski acknowledged that asbestos is “plentiful” in the ambient air and that “everyone” is exposed to it. If a single fiber could cause asbestosis, however, “everyone” would be susceptible. No one suggests this is the case. Given asbestos’s prevalence, therefore, some exposure “threshold” must be demonstrated before a claimant can prove his asbestosis was caused by a particular product.
In analyzing the legal sufficiency of Flores’s negligence claim, then, the court of appeals erred in holding that “[i]n the context of asbestos-related claims, if there is sufficient evidence that the defendant supplied
any
of the asbestos to which the plaintiff was exposed, then the plaintiff has met the burden of proof.” 153 S.W.3d at 213 (emphasis added). This analysis is much like that rejected by the
Lohrmann
court as “contrary to the Maryland law of substantial causation”: “that if the plaintiff can present any evidence that a company’s asbestos-containing product was at the workplace while the plaintiff was at the workplace, a jury question has been established as to whether that product” proximately caused the plaintiffs disease.
Lohrmann,
782 F.2d at 1162. Instead, as outlined above, a plaintiff must prove that the defendant’s product was a substantial factor in causing the alleged harm.
Union Pump,
898 S.W.2d at 775.
We note too, that proof of causation may differ depending on the product at issue; “[i]n some products, the asbestos is embedded and fibers are not likely to become loose or airborne, [while] [i]n other products, the asbestos is friable.”
In re Ethyl Corp.,
975 S.W.2d 606, 617 (Tex.1998); see
also Gideon v. Johns-Manville Sales Corp.,
761 F.2d 1129, 1145 (5th Cir.1985) (noting that “all asbestos products cannot be lumped together in determining their dangerousness”);
Hardy v. Johns-Manville Sales Corp.,
681 F.2d 334, 347 (5th Cir.1982) (distinguishing between “airborne asbestos dust and fibers from thermal insulation” and other “products containing asbestos — in whatever quantity or however encapsulated”);
In re R.O.C. Pretrial,
131 S.W.3d 129, 136-37 (Tex.App.San Antonio 2004, no pet.) (noting that “the type of asbestos that causes asbestosis is ‘friable’ asbestos,” and that the claimants “had the initial burden to show
that they were exposed to asbestos ... in a form that is capable of causing injury from appellee’s products”). We have recognized that “[tjhis, of course, bears on the extent and intensity of exposure to asbestos,”
Ethyl Corp.,
975 S.W.2d at 617, two factors central to causation. We have described situations in which workers were “so covered with asbestos as to be dubbed ‘the snowmen of Grand Central.’ ”
Temple-Inland,
993 S.W.2d at 95. That is not the situation here, where the asbestos at issue was embedded in the brake pads. Dr. Castleman testified that brake mechanics could be exposed to “some” respirable fibers when grinding pads or blowing out housings, and Flores testified that the grinding generated dust.
Without more, we do not know the contents of that dust, including the approximate quantum of fibers to which Flores was exposed, and in keeping with the
de minimis
rule espoused in
Lohrmann
and required by our precedent, we conclude the evidence of causation in this case was legally insufficient.
Lohrmann,
782 F.2d at 1162;
Union Pump,
898 S.W.2d at 775.
Ill
Conclusion
Flores alleged two claims: negligence and strict liability. Because each requires proof of substantial-factor causation, both fail.
See Union Pump,
898 S.W.2d at 775. We reverse the court of appeals’ judgment and render judgment for Borg-Warner. Tex.R.App. P. 60.2(c).
Justice O’NEILL did not participate in the decision.