Opinion of the Court
GIERKE, Judge:
Appellant was caught by a security video-camera in the act of shoplifting from the Post Exchange (PX) at Fort Gordon, Georgia. Before a military judge sitting as a special court-martial, appellant pleaded guilty to stealing a fishing reel, a compact disc player, five “Nintendo” cartridges, and a pair of sunglasses, worth a total value of $398.70, in [181]*181violation of Article 121, Uniform Code of Military Justice, 10 USC § 921. The approved sentence provides for a bad-conduct discharge, forfeiture of $500.00 pay per month for 6 months, and reduction to the lowest enlisted grade. The Court of Military Review1 affirmed the findings and sentence in an unpublished opinion on December 3, 1992. Our Court set aside that decision and remanded the case for further review of allegations of unlawful command influence raised by appellant for the first time on appeal. 38 MJ 310 (CMA 1993) (summary disposition). On further review, the Court of Military Review rejected appellant’s assertions of unlawful command influence. 39 MJ 871 (1994).
We granted review of the following issues:
I
WHETHER [APPELLANT’S] COMPANY COMMANDER WAS SUBJECTED TO UNLAWFUL COMMAND INFLUENCE BY HIS BATTALION COMMANDER PRIOR TO THE PREFERRAL OF THE CHARGE.
II
WHETHER THE [COURT OF MILITARY REVIEWS] DECISION WITH REGARD TO THE ACTIONS OF THE COMMAND SERGEANT MAJOR WAS INADEQUATE AND INCORRECT.
We resolve both issues against appellant.
Factual Background
In a post-trial affidavit, appellant asserted that his company commander, Captain (CPT) Thomas, was coerced by the battalion commander, Lieutenant Colonel (LTC) Nash, into preferring charges and recommending trial by a court-martial empowered to adjudge a bad-conduct discharge. Appellant avers that, upon being advised by CPT Thomas of his recommendation, appellant protested, “Sir, don’t you think that is a little hard and harsh [?]” Appellant further asserts that CPT Thomas “said that he agreed with me,” but “that he was told by the Battalion Commander to recommend the Special Bad Conduct Discharge____”
Regarding the actions of the battalion command sergeant major, appellant asserts that the larceny charges against him were the subject of a Noncommissioned Officer Development Program. In his affidavit, appellant states:
Never before did they have a “NCODP” (NCO Development Program) on a larceny charge, but there were many other cases in the Company and Battalion at Fort Gordon.
Two weeks after I was charged with larceny they showed the tapes to all the NCOs in the Brigade. The tapes were not about me, but after security from the PX finished, the Battalion Command Sergeant Major talked about the NCO in the Battalion who was charged and stated it didn’t look good for him. I knew they all formed an opinion. All the senior NCOs in the Battalion that would have spoke highly of me, told me what happened and that they would have to think about it before they would testify on my behalf.
(Emphasis added.)
In an affidavit submitted by the Government, CPT Thomas states that he discussed appellant’s case with LTC Nash. He further states they “discussed all levels of disciplinary action, ranging from Article 15 to Courts-Martial and LTC Nash told me that it was my decision and to think about it and let him know what I wanted to do.” Regarding his recommended disposition of the case, CPT Thomas states, “After two days of consideration, I decided on a BCD Special Courts-Martial. I did this because a senior NCO can not [sic] make mistakes like shoplifting, to set an example for other soldiers, and because after viewing the two video tapes I felt that this was not a one time incident.”
CPT Thomas described his meeting with appellant as follows:
After [appellant’s] arrival I read him the charges and asked if he had any questions. He said, “Sir, don’t you think that a BCD [182]*182Special is a little harsh,” after which I explained my reasoning and told him that this wasn’t a personal issue against him. LTC Nash never insisted that I proceed with a BCD Special and I never told SSG Drayton that I thought a BCD Special was to [sic] harsh a disciplinary action.
The Court of Military Review held that any defects in CPT Thomas’ preferral and forwarding of charges were waived by failure to raise them at trial. Nevertheless, the court discussed the merits of the issue and found that CPT Thomas’ affidavit was more credible than appellant’s. Accordingly, the court below found “that the appellants affidavit is not sufficient to shift the burden of disproving its content to the government beyond the point of equipoise or inconclusiveness.” 39 MJ at 875.
Regarding the command sergeant major’s actions, the court below noted that six witnesses from appellant’s company testified for appellant during sentencing, including non-commissioned officers who were senior to appellant. The court below found the testimony of these witnesses was “strong evidence that senior noncommissioned officers in the appellant’s unit were not improperly influenced by the command sergeant major’s briefing.” 39 MJ at 875.
Coerced Preferral and Recommendation (Issue I)
Appellant argues that this Court should not apply waiver to appellant’s failure to assert the defects in preferring and forwarding the charges. He asks this Court to “erase” our application of waiver in United States v. Hamilton, 41 MJ 32 (CMA 1994). Finally, he argues that, even if waiver applies, the defects constituted plain error.
The Government argues that the error was waived. They argue further that CPT Thomas’ affidavit rebuts appellant’s claim of unlawful command influence.
In Hamilton, we held that failure to raise the issue of a coerced preferral of charges or a coerced recommendation for a particular disposition waives the defect, unless an accused is deterred from raising it at trial by unlawful command influence. 41 MJ at 37. The relevant facts were known to appellant before trial. Appellant has not asserted that he was deterred at trial from objecting to a coerced preferral or recommendation. Accordingly, we hold that any alleged defects based on coercion were waived.2
Intimidation of Potential Witnesses
Appellant argues that the court below erred by merely tallying the number of witnesses who testified without the aid of additional affidavits or an evidentiary hearing. The Government argues that appellant’s affidavit is insufficient to raise the issue of unlawful command influence.
In United States v. Ayala, 43 MJ 296, 299 (1995), we said that “[t]he defense has the initial burden of producing sufficient evidence to raise unlawful command influence.” In Ayala, the affidavit listed the witnesses who had indicated willingness to testify and described their response after the alleged unlawful influence. Appellant’s post-trial evidence is much weaker than the evidence in Ayala. Appellant has named no witnesses who were intimidated and provided no clue as to their expected testimony.
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Opinion of the Court
GIERKE, Judge:
Appellant was caught by a security video-camera in the act of shoplifting from the Post Exchange (PX) at Fort Gordon, Georgia. Before a military judge sitting as a special court-martial, appellant pleaded guilty to stealing a fishing reel, a compact disc player, five “Nintendo” cartridges, and a pair of sunglasses, worth a total value of $398.70, in [181]*181violation of Article 121, Uniform Code of Military Justice, 10 USC § 921. The approved sentence provides for a bad-conduct discharge, forfeiture of $500.00 pay per month for 6 months, and reduction to the lowest enlisted grade. The Court of Military Review1 affirmed the findings and sentence in an unpublished opinion on December 3, 1992. Our Court set aside that decision and remanded the case for further review of allegations of unlawful command influence raised by appellant for the first time on appeal. 38 MJ 310 (CMA 1993) (summary disposition). On further review, the Court of Military Review rejected appellant’s assertions of unlawful command influence. 39 MJ 871 (1994).
We granted review of the following issues:
I
WHETHER [APPELLANT’S] COMPANY COMMANDER WAS SUBJECTED TO UNLAWFUL COMMAND INFLUENCE BY HIS BATTALION COMMANDER PRIOR TO THE PREFERRAL OF THE CHARGE.
II
WHETHER THE [COURT OF MILITARY REVIEWS] DECISION WITH REGARD TO THE ACTIONS OF THE COMMAND SERGEANT MAJOR WAS INADEQUATE AND INCORRECT.
We resolve both issues against appellant.
Factual Background
In a post-trial affidavit, appellant asserted that his company commander, Captain (CPT) Thomas, was coerced by the battalion commander, Lieutenant Colonel (LTC) Nash, into preferring charges and recommending trial by a court-martial empowered to adjudge a bad-conduct discharge. Appellant avers that, upon being advised by CPT Thomas of his recommendation, appellant protested, “Sir, don’t you think that is a little hard and harsh [?]” Appellant further asserts that CPT Thomas “said that he agreed with me,” but “that he was told by the Battalion Commander to recommend the Special Bad Conduct Discharge____”
Regarding the actions of the battalion command sergeant major, appellant asserts that the larceny charges against him were the subject of a Noncommissioned Officer Development Program. In his affidavit, appellant states:
Never before did they have a “NCODP” (NCO Development Program) on a larceny charge, but there were many other cases in the Company and Battalion at Fort Gordon.
Two weeks after I was charged with larceny they showed the tapes to all the NCOs in the Brigade. The tapes were not about me, but after security from the PX finished, the Battalion Command Sergeant Major talked about the NCO in the Battalion who was charged and stated it didn’t look good for him. I knew they all formed an opinion. All the senior NCOs in the Battalion that would have spoke highly of me, told me what happened and that they would have to think about it before they would testify on my behalf.
(Emphasis added.)
In an affidavit submitted by the Government, CPT Thomas states that he discussed appellant’s case with LTC Nash. He further states they “discussed all levels of disciplinary action, ranging from Article 15 to Courts-Martial and LTC Nash told me that it was my decision and to think about it and let him know what I wanted to do.” Regarding his recommended disposition of the case, CPT Thomas states, “After two days of consideration, I decided on a BCD Special Courts-Martial. I did this because a senior NCO can not [sic] make mistakes like shoplifting, to set an example for other soldiers, and because after viewing the two video tapes I felt that this was not a one time incident.”
CPT Thomas described his meeting with appellant as follows:
After [appellant’s] arrival I read him the charges and asked if he had any questions. He said, “Sir, don’t you think that a BCD [182]*182Special is a little harsh,” after which I explained my reasoning and told him that this wasn’t a personal issue against him. LTC Nash never insisted that I proceed with a BCD Special and I never told SSG Drayton that I thought a BCD Special was to [sic] harsh a disciplinary action.
The Court of Military Review held that any defects in CPT Thomas’ preferral and forwarding of charges were waived by failure to raise them at trial. Nevertheless, the court discussed the merits of the issue and found that CPT Thomas’ affidavit was more credible than appellant’s. Accordingly, the court below found “that the appellants affidavit is not sufficient to shift the burden of disproving its content to the government beyond the point of equipoise or inconclusiveness.” 39 MJ at 875.
Regarding the command sergeant major’s actions, the court below noted that six witnesses from appellant’s company testified for appellant during sentencing, including non-commissioned officers who were senior to appellant. The court below found the testimony of these witnesses was “strong evidence that senior noncommissioned officers in the appellant’s unit were not improperly influenced by the command sergeant major’s briefing.” 39 MJ at 875.
Coerced Preferral and Recommendation (Issue I)
Appellant argues that this Court should not apply waiver to appellant’s failure to assert the defects in preferring and forwarding the charges. He asks this Court to “erase” our application of waiver in United States v. Hamilton, 41 MJ 32 (CMA 1994). Finally, he argues that, even if waiver applies, the defects constituted plain error.
The Government argues that the error was waived. They argue further that CPT Thomas’ affidavit rebuts appellant’s claim of unlawful command influence.
In Hamilton, we held that failure to raise the issue of a coerced preferral of charges or a coerced recommendation for a particular disposition waives the defect, unless an accused is deterred from raising it at trial by unlawful command influence. 41 MJ at 37. The relevant facts were known to appellant before trial. Appellant has not asserted that he was deterred at trial from objecting to a coerced preferral or recommendation. Accordingly, we hold that any alleged defects based on coercion were waived.2
Intimidation of Potential Witnesses
Appellant argues that the court below erred by merely tallying the number of witnesses who testified without the aid of additional affidavits or an evidentiary hearing. The Government argues that appellant’s affidavit is insufficient to raise the issue of unlawful command influence.
In United States v. Ayala, 43 MJ 296, 299 (1995), we said that “[t]he defense has the initial burden of producing sufficient evidence to raise unlawful command influence.” In Ayala, the affidavit listed the witnesses who had indicated willingness to testify and described their response after the alleged unlawful influence. Appellant’s post-trial evidence is much weaker than the evidence in Ayala. Appellant has named no witnesses who were intimidated and provided no clue as to their expected testimony.
It is risky for a person in authority to comment on the merits of a pending case, especially in the presence of subordinates. Nevertheless, the command sergeant major’s remarks, even when read in the light most favorable to appellant, merely recite a truism, that “it didn’t look good for” appellant. This remark states the obvious, since appellant was caught in the act of shoplifting by a videoeamera.
Appellant alleges no express or implied threats. The meeting of noncommissioned officers appears to have been a demonstration of the PX video security system by PX security officers, rather than a command sponsored diatribe against appellant. To the extent that the command sergeant major in[183]*183tended to influence his subordinates, his efforts were limited to deterring them from shoplifting, not deterring them from testifying for appellant.
The record shows that two defense witnesses, Master Sergeant McMillan and Sergeant First Class (SFC) Smith, were from outside appellant’s battalion. Two witnesses, SFC Madden and SFC Douglas, were senior to appellant and from his company. Staff Sergeant Weston, a co-worker, was from appellant’s company. We are left to speculate who, if anyone, from appellant’s battalion was intimidated into silence by the battalion command sergeant major.
Our observation in United States v. Johnston, 39 MJ 242, 244 (1994), bears repeating: “[T]he threshhold triggering further inquiry should be low, but it must be more than a bare allegation or mere speculation.” We hold that appellant’s “bare allegation” is insufficient to raise the issue of unlawful command influence.
Decision
The decision of the United States Army Court of Military Review on remand is affirmed.
Chief Judge COX and Judge CRAWFORD concur.