Hunt, J.
¶1 Richard Roy Scott appeals the superior court’s denial of his motion to withdraw his third-degree child-rape Alford1 plea. He argues that the court erred (1) in denying his motion as untimely, and (2) in failing to conduct an evidentiary hearing to determine the credibility of recent recantations by the alleged victim and two witnesses. We vacate the superior court’s order denying Scott’s motion and remand for a reference hearing to determine the credibility of Scott’s “new evidence.”
FACTS
I. Alford Plea and Sentencing
¶2 In 2001, the State charged Richard Roy Scott with one count of third degree rape of a child, alleging that Scott had sexual intercourse with DH, who was under the age of 16, sometime between February 1, 2001, and March 31, 2001. The Pacific County prosecutor filed an affidavit of probable cause on May 11, 2001, outlining the State’s evidence supporting the charge.
¶3 On May 25, 2001, Scott entered an Alford plea. Scott explained that he was pleading guilty because he did not “see a chance of winning.”2 In his statement on plea of guilty, he did not check the box allowing the trial court to review the police reports or probable cause affidavit to provide a factual basis for his plea. Nowhere else in his [284]*284statement on plea of guilty did he mention or incorporate by reference the prosecutor’s affidavit of probable cause.3 In the blank asking Scott to describe in his owns words why he was guilty, Scott wrote only the words “Alford plea.”
¶4 In exchange for Scott’s pleading guilty, the State agreed to “terminate investigation of [Scott] and not file additional charges.” The plea agreement identified Scott’s offender score as one, yielding a standard range of 15 to 20 months’ confinement. The State agreed to recommend the high end of that standard sentencing range.
¶5 In its presentence investigation report, the State summarized DH’s and Connie DuFour’s statements, and an interview with Scott, in which he stated that (1) DH and his parents told Scott that DH was 18 years old; (2) he (Scott) had sex with DH at DH’s request when DH stayed overnight night at Scott’s house; and (3) the next morning, DuFour and a juvenile male had come into the house and observed DH and Scott dressing. At the end of the interview, “Scott stated that ‘he (the victim [DH]) wasn’t that good anyway’ [and] laughed excessively regarding this comment.” Clerk’s Papers (CP) at 20.
¶6 At the July 6 sentencing hearing, Scott asked the court to consider him for the Special Sex Offender Treatment Program (SSOSA) under former RCW 9.94A.120 [285]*285(2001) (which required an admission of guilt). Scott reiterated that he thought DH was 18 when DH rented a room from him (Scott). Scott stated that he did not allow DH to move in until after DH’s 18th birthday in March,4 and after DH moved in, they had sex “about three” times over a period of “about three weeks.”
¶7 The sentencing court questioned community corrections officer Robert Bromps, the presentence investigation report preparer, about recent unsuccessful attempts to contact DH. Bromps explained that (1) a letter he had sent to DH’s last known address had been returned; (2) the telephone number he had for DH was not working; and (3) he (Bromps) knew of no way “of getting a hold of” DH. Scott told the trial court that DH’s family had been “evicted twice in the last three months,” that “they probably left the state,” and that the family was from Montana.
¶8 By the time of sentencing, the State had determined that Scott’s actual offender score was three, not one, yielding a standard sentencing range of 26 to 34 months’ confinement. His prior convictions also made him ineligible for a SSOSA. Accordingly, the court sentenced him to 34 months’ confinement, plus 36 to 48 months’ community custody. The court also ordered Scott to have no contact with DH.
II. 2003 Personal Restraint Petition and Remand
¶9 In 2003, Scott filed a personal restraint petition, arguing that his guilty plea was invalid because his offender score had been miscalculated. The Supreme Court ordered the superior court to grant Scott his choice of remedy—withdrawal of his guilty plea or specific performance of the plea agreement, unless the superior court determined after ah evidentiary hearing that there were compelling reasons not to allow the remedy Scott chose.
[286]*286¶10 Thereafter, Scott wrote a letter to the Pacific County prosecutor, offering to “withdraw the right to change [his] plea” in order to save the State money.5 Thus, Scott did not withdraw his 2001 Alford plea and, instead, left it intact to serve as the basis for his resentencing. On May 16, 2003, in accordance with the original 2001 plea agreement, the superior court sentenced Scott to 20 months’ confinement, followed by 36 to 48 months’ community custody (with the total confinement and community custody not to exceed the statutory maximum of 60 months).
¶11 At that point, Scott had already served 24 months in prison and, apparently, expected to be released to community custody. On May 19, 2003, however, the King County Prosecutor’s Office petitioned to have Scott civilly committed as a sexually violent predator (SVP) under chapter 71.09 RCW. The record on appeal does not show Scott’s current custody status.6
III. Newly Discovered Evidence; Motion To Vacate Plea
¶12 More than two years later, on October 7, 2005, Scott’s counsel, Michael Turner, moved to withdraw. Scott opposed this motion, arguing that Turner should be investigating his (Scott’s) assertion that he had found DH and that DH had been 18 years old at the time of the alleged rape. The court granted Turner’s motion to withdraw.
¶13 In April 2006, Scott filed a pro se motion asking the superior court to vacate his Alford-plea conviction, to appoint an attorney to represent him, and to hear oral argument on his motion. On May 31, with the assistance of standby counsel, Scott supplemented his motion to vacate with two supporting declarations, one from DH and the other from DH’s mother.
[287]*287A. “Victim’s” Recantation
¶14 DH declared that (1) he had never entered Scott’s house; (2) Scott had never forced him to engage in sexual activity; (3) he was aware that Scott had been charged with third degree rape of a child and that he (DH) was the alleged victim; (4) the charge was false because he (DH) had been arrested in February 2001 and incarcerated in Montana from February to May 2001;7 and (5) he remembered having been interviewed by police and having “told them distinctly at this time that nothing had happened between Mr. Scott and myself.” CP at 76. DH’s mother declared that DH had been incarcerated in Great Falls, Montana, from February to May 2001.
¶15 In March 2007, represented by new appointed counsel, Scott filed a memorandum in support of his motion to vacate his guilty plea.
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Hunt, J.
¶1 Richard Roy Scott appeals the superior court’s denial of his motion to withdraw his third-degree child-rape Alford1 plea. He argues that the court erred (1) in denying his motion as untimely, and (2) in failing to conduct an evidentiary hearing to determine the credibility of recent recantations by the alleged victim and two witnesses. We vacate the superior court’s order denying Scott’s motion and remand for a reference hearing to determine the credibility of Scott’s “new evidence.”
FACTS
I. Alford Plea and Sentencing
¶2 In 2001, the State charged Richard Roy Scott with one count of third degree rape of a child, alleging that Scott had sexual intercourse with DH, who was under the age of 16, sometime between February 1, 2001, and March 31, 2001. The Pacific County prosecutor filed an affidavit of probable cause on May 11, 2001, outlining the State’s evidence supporting the charge.
¶3 On May 25, 2001, Scott entered an Alford plea. Scott explained that he was pleading guilty because he did not “see a chance of winning.”2 In his statement on plea of guilty, he did not check the box allowing the trial court to review the police reports or probable cause affidavit to provide a factual basis for his plea. Nowhere else in his [284]*284statement on plea of guilty did he mention or incorporate by reference the prosecutor’s affidavit of probable cause.3 In the blank asking Scott to describe in his owns words why he was guilty, Scott wrote only the words “Alford plea.”
¶4 In exchange for Scott’s pleading guilty, the State agreed to “terminate investigation of [Scott] and not file additional charges.” The plea agreement identified Scott’s offender score as one, yielding a standard range of 15 to 20 months’ confinement. The State agreed to recommend the high end of that standard sentencing range.
¶5 In its presentence investigation report, the State summarized DH’s and Connie DuFour’s statements, and an interview with Scott, in which he stated that (1) DH and his parents told Scott that DH was 18 years old; (2) he (Scott) had sex with DH at DH’s request when DH stayed overnight night at Scott’s house; and (3) the next morning, DuFour and a juvenile male had come into the house and observed DH and Scott dressing. At the end of the interview, “Scott stated that ‘he (the victim [DH]) wasn’t that good anyway’ [and] laughed excessively regarding this comment.” Clerk’s Papers (CP) at 20.
¶6 At the July 6 sentencing hearing, Scott asked the court to consider him for the Special Sex Offender Treatment Program (SSOSA) under former RCW 9.94A.120 [285]*285(2001) (which required an admission of guilt). Scott reiterated that he thought DH was 18 when DH rented a room from him (Scott). Scott stated that he did not allow DH to move in until after DH’s 18th birthday in March,4 and after DH moved in, they had sex “about three” times over a period of “about three weeks.”
¶7 The sentencing court questioned community corrections officer Robert Bromps, the presentence investigation report preparer, about recent unsuccessful attempts to contact DH. Bromps explained that (1) a letter he had sent to DH’s last known address had been returned; (2) the telephone number he had for DH was not working; and (3) he (Bromps) knew of no way “of getting a hold of” DH. Scott told the trial court that DH’s family had been “evicted twice in the last three months,” that “they probably left the state,” and that the family was from Montana.
¶8 By the time of sentencing, the State had determined that Scott’s actual offender score was three, not one, yielding a standard sentencing range of 26 to 34 months’ confinement. His prior convictions also made him ineligible for a SSOSA. Accordingly, the court sentenced him to 34 months’ confinement, plus 36 to 48 months’ community custody. The court also ordered Scott to have no contact with DH.
II. 2003 Personal Restraint Petition and Remand
¶9 In 2003, Scott filed a personal restraint petition, arguing that his guilty plea was invalid because his offender score had been miscalculated. The Supreme Court ordered the superior court to grant Scott his choice of remedy—withdrawal of his guilty plea or specific performance of the plea agreement, unless the superior court determined after ah evidentiary hearing that there were compelling reasons not to allow the remedy Scott chose.
[286]*286¶10 Thereafter, Scott wrote a letter to the Pacific County prosecutor, offering to “withdraw the right to change [his] plea” in order to save the State money.5 Thus, Scott did not withdraw his 2001 Alford plea and, instead, left it intact to serve as the basis for his resentencing. On May 16, 2003, in accordance with the original 2001 plea agreement, the superior court sentenced Scott to 20 months’ confinement, followed by 36 to 48 months’ community custody (with the total confinement and community custody not to exceed the statutory maximum of 60 months).
¶11 At that point, Scott had already served 24 months in prison and, apparently, expected to be released to community custody. On May 19, 2003, however, the King County Prosecutor’s Office petitioned to have Scott civilly committed as a sexually violent predator (SVP) under chapter 71.09 RCW. The record on appeal does not show Scott’s current custody status.6
III. Newly Discovered Evidence; Motion To Vacate Plea
¶12 More than two years later, on October 7, 2005, Scott’s counsel, Michael Turner, moved to withdraw. Scott opposed this motion, arguing that Turner should be investigating his (Scott’s) assertion that he had found DH and that DH had been 18 years old at the time of the alleged rape. The court granted Turner’s motion to withdraw.
¶13 In April 2006, Scott filed a pro se motion asking the superior court to vacate his Alford-plea conviction, to appoint an attorney to represent him, and to hear oral argument on his motion. On May 31, with the assistance of standby counsel, Scott supplemented his motion to vacate with two supporting declarations, one from DH and the other from DH’s mother.
[287]*287A. “Victim’s” Recantation
¶14 DH declared that (1) he had never entered Scott’s house; (2) Scott had never forced him to engage in sexual activity; (3) he was aware that Scott had been charged with third degree rape of a child and that he (DH) was the alleged victim; (4) the charge was false because he (DH) had been arrested in February 2001 and incarcerated in Montana from February to May 2001;7 and (5) he remembered having been interviewed by police and having “told them distinctly at this time that nothing had happened between Mr. Scott and myself.” CP at 76. DH’s mother declared that DH had been incarcerated in Great Falls, Montana, from February to May 2001.
¶15 In March 2007, represented by new appointed counsel, Scott filed a memorandum in support of his motion to vacate his guilty plea. He outlined and attached as “new evidence” a transcript of a May 11, 2006 interview between DH and a private investigator in which DH stated that Scott never made any sexual advances toward him and that he (DH) had never been in Scott’s house.
B. Other New Evidence
¶16 Scott’s counsel also submitted the following new evidence in support of Scott’s motion to vacate his plea: (1) excerpts from the King County Prosecuting Attorney’s Office’s September 8, 2006 interview of Fernlund; (2) a 2001 statement by Carolyn Yellowhawk,8 which the State allegedly never gave to Scott’s trial counsel; and (3) affidavits and declarations indicating that some of the people who had [288]*288reported Scott’s allegedly illegal sexual activity to the police subsequently took over his lawn care business (without his permission) after he went to jail. At the time Scott submitted this memorandum, he believed that DuFour was deceased.
¶17 During the 2007 interview with the King County investigator, Fernlund stated that (1) his mother said that “the cops” had told her that Scott was a child molester; (2) he (Fernlund) had never “seen” Scott “with any kids”; (3) he (Fernlund) “just said what everybody else was sayin’ and like went in there essentially said the same thing” during the 2001 interview with police, CP at 337; and (4) “[l]ike all of us were like all right since he’s a queer you know, do whatever. So I guess we all just like ... I don’t know kind a [sic] put together to get him locked up.” CP at 336-39. In a separate interview, Fernlund told Scott’s private investigator that he (Fernlund) never saw Scott engaged in sex with DH and he never observed Scott engaged in any kind of sex act with anyone during the time he (Fernlund) had known him (Scott).
¶18 On May 1, Scott submitted a second supplemental memorandum with additional “new evidence”—the transcript of King County’s recent interview with DuFour, who was still alive and had been found. In her 2007 interview, DuFour stated that, on the day she had observed Scott having sex with DH, (1) she had gone into the house alone while her father9 waited outside in his vehicle; (2) when she saw Scott having sex with DH, she had retrieved a camera from her vehicle and had taken two photos of Scott and DH, which she gave to the police; (3) her father told her to go to the police and she went with her father to the police “that night” and “again the next day”; and (4) the police had [289]*289arrested Scott “just a couple days” after she reported the incident.10
C. Motion To Vacate Plea
¶19 On May 11, the superior court heard oral argument on Scott’s motion to vacate his guilty plea. Scott argued that he had been diligent in his investigation of the case, and that the newly discovered evidence (specifically the recent statements of DH, Fernlund, and DuFour) showed that Scott was innocent. The State argued that (1) “this [was] a case about equitable estoppel and finality of judgments”; (2) Scott should have either not entered son. Alford plea in 2001 or chosen to withdraw his plea in 2003, when he had the chance following the Supreme Court’s remand; (3) Scott had not been diligent because he had done nothing between 2003 and 2005; (4) Scott had received the benefit of his plea bargain because the State had stopped investigating other potential charges against him; and (5) the new evidence was unreliable because it conflicted with Scott’s own statements in 2001.
¶20 The superior court did not hold an evidentiary hearing to determine whether the new statements were credible. Instead, in a June memorandum opinion, the superior court adopted the State’s reasoning and denied Scott’s motion to vacate. With regard to Scott’s new evidence, the court stated:
The facts presented to the Court regarding key witnesses changing or recanting their testimony is not sufficient to overcome [Scott’s] intelligent, knowing and voluntary Alford plea. [Scott] was represented by counsel each step of the legal process. [Scott] presented no evidence that he did not understand that he was making a “deal” with the prosecutor.
[290]*290The newly discovered evidence enumerated in [Scott’s] briefs is not unique or compelling to justify vacation of his sentence. Often complaining witnesses change their testimony at a later date for a variety of reasons. [Scott] has failed to demonstrate that the complaining witnesses’ statements at the time they were made were untrue. Instead, [Scott] chose not to proceed to a jury trial to flesh out all the various witnesses’ testimonies in 2001.
The Court further agrees with the State that Mr. Scott’s motion to vacate is untimely [because Scott] failed to adequately demonstrate why he waited so long to vacate his May 16, 2003 judgment, or, for that matter, his 2001 judgment.
CP at 96-98.
¶21 Scott appeals.
ANALYSIS
¶22 Scott argues that the superior court erred by denying his motion to vacate his Alford plea without first holding an evidentiary hearing to determine the credibility of the new evidence—victim and witness recantations. The State counters that that the superior court properly denied Scott’s motion because it was time barred. We agree with Scott.
I. Standard of Review
¶23 We review for abuse of discretion the superior court’s decision denying vacation of a judgment and a new trial. State v. Ieng, 87 Wn. App. 873, 877, 942 P.2d 1091 (1997), review denied, 134 Wn.2d 1014 (1998). The superior court abuses its discretion when its decision is manifestly unreasonable, based on untenable grounds, or based on untenable reasons. State v. Downing, 151 Wn.2d 265, 272, 87 P.3d 1169 (2004).
[291]*291H. Motion Not Time Barred
¶24 Scott argues that his motion was not time barred. The State argues that Scott should not be allowed to withdraw his guilty plea because he did not act with reasonable diligence in discovering the “new” evidence or in filing his motion to vacate based on new evidence. We disagree with the State.
¶25 Criminal Rule (CrR) 7.8(b)(2) provides that “the court may relieve a party from final judgment” based on “[n]ewly discovered evidence which by due diligence could not have been discovered in time to move for a new trial under rule 7.5.”11 In general, where the motion is based on newly discovered evidence, the defendant must bring the motion within a reasonable time and within one year after the judgment, order, or proceedings. CrR 7.8. But, where the motion is a collateral attack, such as a motion to withdraw a guilty plea, the one-year time limit does not bar the motion if the defendant acted with reasonable diligence in discovering the new evidence. RCW 10.73.090, .100.
¶26 Scott argues that he could not reasonably have discovered this new evidence earlier because a no-contact order prohibited him from contacting DH. Scott emphasizes that the State similarly had no means to locate DH, one of the grounds the State asserted as a hardship if the superior court allowed Scott to withdraw his plea. The State makes this same assertion here: “The State in 2003 did not know the whereabouts of key witnesses and likely would have had trouble tracking them down.”12 Br. of Resp’t at 27.
[292]*292¶27 We note the State’s similar inability to stay in contact with DH in 2001 at the time of Scott’s sentencing. Yet the State argues that Scott, who was in prison and prevented by court order from contacting the victim, somehow could have discovered this new evidence earlier if he had “made a timelier request to have a new lawyer appointed to investigate any the [sic] possibility of witness ‘recantations.’ ” Br. of Resp’t at 28. Scott replies that he made such a request in 2005 when he opposed his attorney’s notice of intent to withdraw and moved to vacate his plea based on new evidence.
¶28 It appears from the prosecutor’s 2001 probable cause affidavit that the witness statements leading up to Scott’s Alford plea were consistent. DH claimed that he and Scott had “engaged in sexual activity approximately 100 times.” Both DuFour and Fernlund claimed to have witnessed Scott having sex with DH. More recently, Fernlund described the witnesses’ attitudes at the time they gave their statements to the police as follows: “Like all of us were like all right since he’s a queer you know, do whatever. So I guess we all just like ... I don’t know kind a [sic] put together to get him locked up.” CP at 339 (emphasis added). Thus, it is unlikely that these witnesses would have changed their stories earlier or that Scott could have done anything to cause these changes.13
¶29 We hold, therefore, the general CrR 7.8 and RCW 10.73.090 one-year time limits do not bar Scott’s motion to [293]*293vacate his guilty plea, based on new evidence that he acted with reasonable diligence in discovering and could not reasonably have discovered at an earlier time. RCW 10.73.100.
III. Evidentiary Hearing To Determine Reliability of New Evidence
¶30 Scott asks us to remand to the superior court to conduct an evidentiary hearing to determine whether the witnesses’ recantations are credible and, thus, entitle him to a new trial. He argues that the superior court erred by rejecting his new evidence without first holding an evidentiary hearing to determine whether the recanting witnesses’ statements were reliable because, if true, DH’s, DuFour’s, and Fernlund’s recent statements prove that Scott did not commit the crime for which he entered an Alford plea, based on their earlier statements to the contrary. These witnesses recently declared either that (1) Scott did not have sex with DH; or (2) Scott had sex with DH, but only after DH had turned 16 years old, the age of consent.14 We agree.
[294]*294A. Criteria for New Trial
¶31 A superior court may not grant a defendant a new trial based upon new evidence unless he establishes “ ‘that the evidence (1) will probably change the result of the trial; (2) was discovered since the trial; (3) could not have been discovered before the trial by exercise of due diligence; (4) is material; and (5) is not merely cumulative or impeaching.’ ” In re Pers. Restraint of Brown, 143 Wn.2d 431, 453, 21 P.3d 687 (2001) (quoting State v. Williams, 96 Wn.2d 215, 222-23, 634 P.2d 868 (1981)); see also State v. D.T.M., 78 Wn. App. 216, 221, 896 P.2d 108 (1995). The superior court may deny a motion for a new trial “when any one of these factors is absent.” State v. Macon, 128 Wn.2d 784, 804, 911 P.2d 1004 (1996).
¶32 A witness or victim’s recantation of earlier statements is generally considered new evidence. Id. at 799-800. The superior court must determine whether a witness’s recantation is credible before considering the defendant’s motion for a new trial based on the recantations, regardless of whether there is independent evidence supporting the defendant’s conviction. Id. at 804. This rule applies even where the defendant entered an Alford plea. State v. D.T.M., 78 Wn. App. 216, 221, 896 P.2d 108 (1995) (superior court erred by denying defendant’s motion to withdraw Alford plea without holding evidentiary hearing to determine whether alleged victim’s recantation was credible).
¶33 In an Alford plea, the defendant does not admit guilt but concedes that a jury would most likely convict him based on the strength of the State’s evidence. Alford, 400 [295]*295U.S. at 37; see also State v. Newton, 87 Wn.2d 363, 372, 552 P.2d 682 (1976).
Ordinarily, when a defendant pleads guilty, the factual basis for the offense is provided at least in part by the defendant’s own admissions. With an Alford plea, however, the court must establish an entirely independent factual basis for the guilty plea, a basis which substitutes for an admission of guilt.
D.T.M., 78 Wn. App. at 220. Thus, an evidentiary hearing to evaluate the continued reliability of this independent factual basis is all the more critical where a defendant’s conviction is based on an Alford plea rather than on his admission or sworn trial testimony.
¶34 Scott does not challenge on appeal the lack of a factual basis for his 2001 Alford plea. Nevertheless, his newly discovered evidence calls into question whether there now remains sufficient evidence admissible under the corpus delicti rule15 to support his plea and conviction. Independent of his Alford plea proceedings, Scott consistently maintained that DH was of the age of consent when they had sex and that he (Scott) had never confessed to having committed a crime. Now, the alleged victim, DH, whom the State could not locate at the time of Scott’s 2001 sentencing, declares that Scott committed no crime against him. Thus, the chances of there being no competent evidence to support Scott’s Alford plea are high, and the necessity of an evidentiary hearing is clear.
B. D.T.M.
¶35 We find instructive D.T.M., in which Division Three of our court addressed newly discovered evidence in the Alford plea context. In D.T.M., the defendant’s stepdaugh[296]*296ter, MJ, told a neighbor and her mother that DTM had tried to rape her. Id. at 218. The State charged DTM with first degree child rape. The court held a hearing to determine MJ’s competency and the admissibility of child hearsay. Id. DTM accepted the State’s plea bargain offer and entered an Alford plea to the first degree molestation charge in exchange for the State’s dismissing the first degree rape charge. Id. Four days later, however, MJ told her mother that she had “made up” the rape allegation because she was angry at DTM and wanted him “to get in trouble.” Id. DTM moved to withdraw his Alford plea. Id. Without first establishing whether MJ’s recantation was credible, the superior court denied the motion. Id. at 219. Division Three of our court reversed. Id. at 221.
¶36 Division Three noted that (1) without MJ’s statements, DTM’s Alford plea and conviction lacked factual support because there was no independent evidence supporting the charge; (2) MJ’s recantation, if true, met all five criteria for a new trial; (3) DTM could not have discovered the recantation earlier with the exercise of due diligence “[g]iven the consistency of M.J.’s statements throughout the investigation and pretrial proceedings”; (4) DTM “could [not] have precipitated the recantation by acting differently”; and (5) if MJ had adhered to her recantation in open court while subject to cross-examination, existing law would require the superior court to permit DTM to withdraw his guilty plea and proceed to trial. Id. at 220-21.
C. If True, New Evidence Would Meet All Five New Trial Criteria
¶37 Scott’s new evidence, if true, contradicts and significantly calls into question the evidence available to provide a factual basis for his 2001 Alford plea—the original police interview with DH and DuFour’s original statements to [297]*297police.16 DH’s recent affidavit and Fernlund’s recent interview statements, if true, meet the five criteria for a new trial, especially in light of DuFour’s significantly changed story. This new evidence meets the first criterion because it would probably change the result of a new trial. DH now indicates not only that he never had a sexual relationship with Scott, but also that he never told anyone that Scott had sex with him; he also claims that he was out of the state during the charging period. Fernlund’s statement is clearly a recantation of his earlier statement to police: He now affirmatively admits to having earlier lied about seeing Scott having sex with DH in order to “get [Scott] locked up.” If true, these new statements not only undermine the factual basis for Scott’s plea but also tend to prove that Scott never had sex with DH and, thus, did not commit third degree rape of a child.
¶38 This new evidence also meets the second and third criteria: It was all discovered after trial. Scott likely could not have discovered the evidence before his guilty plea through the exercise of due diligence; it is highly unlikely that anything Scott could have done would have precipitated Fernlund’s recantation. Given that by the time of sentencing, the State was unable to find DH or his family, it is unlikely that Scott could have discovered that DH did not make the statements attributed to him in the probable cause affidavit (or if he did make those statements, that he would later recant).
¶39 Furthermore, the evidence, if true, meets the fourth criterion for a new trial in that it strongly indicates that Scott did not commit a crime; therefore, the evidence is material. Finally, DH’s and Fernlund’s statements meet the [298]*298fifth criterion because these statements are not merely cumulative or impeaching.17
D. Credibility Hearing Necessary Despite Statements’ Conflict
¶40 Although the superior court did not hold a credibility hearing, the State argues that the superior court properly found DH’s statements unreliable because they conflict with Scott’s statements. Scott argues that (1) the superior court should have held an evidentiary hearing to determine whether DH’s recantation was credible after having the opportunity to observe DH testifying in open court despite his (Scott’s) contrary statements; (2) if the statements are inconsistent, “only Scott knows the motivation underlying his statements, whether based on truth or some other concern”; and (3) his (Scott’s) statements and DH’s statements do not entirely conflict because the sex could have occurred after DH’s 16th birthday when he returned to Washington following his release from custody.
¶41 In 2001, Scott (1) told the sentencing court that he and DH had had sex “about three” times after DH moved in with him, but Scott maintained he had believed DH was 18 years old at the time; and (2) consistently told the corrections officer who prepared the presentence report that he (Scott) had had sex with DH, but that he believed DH was 18 years old at the time.18 Although Scott’s [299]*299statements are inconsistent with DH’s 2007 statement that he (DH) never had sex with Scott, DH’s statement—that he was out of state during the charging period—is consistent with Scott’s repeated statements that he had sex with DH only after DH was old enough to consent. Neither Scott’s nor DH’s statements, however, describe a crime.
IV. Statement of Additional Grounds: Actual Innocence
¶42 In his statement of additional grounds (SAG),19 Scott argues that “actual innocence should have been the only grounds raised” by his attorney. Scott attaches his trial attorney’s motion for reconsideration, which cites Schlup v. Delo, 513 U.S. 298, 115 S. Ct. 851,130 L. Ed. 2d 808 (1995). The Washington Supreme Court has cited Schlup for the proposition that “actual innocence” may constitute a rare “narrow exception allowed for consideration of a successive [personal restraint] petition” in “ ‘extraordinary cases [s].’ ” In re Pers. Restraint of Taray, 153 Wn.2d 44, 54-55, 101 P.3d 854 (2004) (alteration in original) (quoting Schlup, 513 U.S. at 321).
¶43 Scott is before us on direct appeal from the superior court’s denial of his motion to withdraw his Alford plea, not on a successive personal restraint petition. Thus, we need not address whether the “actual innocence” successive personal restraint petition exception applies to a direct appeal. Furthermore, it is not necessary for us to delve more deeply into this exception because we are vacating the superior court’s order on other grounds and remanding for the reference hearing that Scott has requested.
¶44 We vacate the superior court’s denial of Scott’s motion to withdraw his guilty plea and remand to the superior court to hold an evidentiary hearing to determine whether his new evidence is credible. If the superior court determines that the new evidence is credible, then the court shall reconsider Scott’s motion to withdraw his Alford plea. [300]*300If the superior court determines that the new evidence is not credible, then Scott’s Alford-plea based conviction stands.
Bridgewater and Armstrong, JJ., concur.