MEMORANDUM
ERIC L. FRANK, Bankruptcy Judge.
I. INTRODUCTION
Andrea A. Mullock (“the Debtor”) is the owner of the real property located at 933 Black Road, Gladwyne, PA (“the Property”). She commenced this chapter 11 bankruptcy case on October 21, 2008. It is her second chapter 11 bankruptcy case.
Emigrant Mortgage Company (“Emigrant”), a secured creditor holding the first mortgage on the Property, filed a Motion for Relief from the Automatic Stay (“the Motion”) on January 16, 2009. Emigrant seeks authority to enforce its prepet-ition foreclosure judgment obtained in federal court and to subject the Property to a marshal’s sale. The sole basis for the relief Emigrant requests is 11 U.S.C. § 362(d)(2).
The court held an evidentiary hearing on the Motion on February 11, 2009. Michael Mullock (“Mr.Mullock”), the Debtor’s husband, was the sole witness. At the conclusion of the hearing, the court took the matter under advisement and requested that the parties submit post-hearing mem-oranda. Both parties did so on February 25, 2009. The matter is now ready for disposition.
For the reasons set forth below, the Motion will granted.
II. FINDINGS OF FACT
1. The Debtor is woman in her late 40’s who is legally blind and disabled as a
result of a catastrophic accident she suffered in 1984.
2. The Debtor is dependent upon Mr. Mullock to conduct her financial and business affairs and, at all relevant times, he has done so on her behalf.
3. In 1987, the Debtor received a settlement in connection with certain litigation arising from her accident. The settlement had a value of approximately $3.5 million and was structured in the form of an annuity and cash.
4. The Debtor used some of the cash portion of the settlement for a down payment for the purchase the Property. The Debtor also used some of the cash portion of the settlement to invest in a business that Mr. Mullock operated (“the Earlier Business”).
5. The Debtor is the sole owner of the Property and has lived there for more than twenty (20) years.
6. There are two (2) structures on the Property: a residence and a carriage house.
7. Some time in the mid-1990’s, the Earlier Business ran into financial difficulties and ceased operations. The Debtor and Mr. Mullock experienced their own personal financial distress, resulting in the foreclosure and the Debtor’s loss of ownership of the Property.
8. After the Debtor lost title to the Property, she and Mr. Mullock remained in possession of the Property through what she described as a “lease to purchase” agreement.
9. In 1999 and thereafter, the Debtor became the owner of two (2) related companies, Consolidated Woodwork Manufacturing of Delaware (“CWM”) and Global Development, C.R., S.A. (“Global”). Mr. Mullock ran these new business ventures.
10. In April 2001, the Debtor entered into an adjustable rate mortgage transaction with Emigrant, borrowing the principal amount of $750,000.00. This loan enabled her to repurchase and regain ownership of the Property.
11. Also in 2001, the Debtor entered into a loan transaction with Malvern Federal Savings and Loan (“Malvern”), in the form of a term loan and a line of credit, to provide financing for the business operations of CWM and Global. The Debtor granted Malvern a mortgage on the Property in that transaction.
12. Within one (1) or two (2) years after the Emigrant loan transaction, the Debtor became delinquent on the Emigrant loan.
13. Emigrant initiated foreclosure proceedings and obtained a judgment against the Debtor on May 31, 2005 in the amount of $1,140,130.49 (plus interest and late fees) in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania, in a case docketed as C.A. No. 2:03-CV-3910 (“the
District Court Foreclosure Case”).
Thereafter, Emigrant scheduled a marshal’s sale of the Property.
14. Prior to the scheduled marshal’s sale, the Debtor filed the Prior Case on November 29, 2005.
15. The Debtor’s bankruptcy schedules in the Prior Case revealed the following:
a. The estimated value of the Property was $1,800,000.00.
b. The Property was subject to two (2) mortgages with a total indebtedness of $1,400,000.00: a first mortgage in favor of Emigrant in the amount of $1,150,00.00
and a second mortgage in favor of Malvern in the amount of $250,000.00.
c. Emigrant and Malvern were the only creditors.
d. The Debtor had projected monthly income of $18,578.00,
monthly expenses of $15,248.08 (including $6,000.00 as a monthly mortgage payment to Emigrant and $2,807.20 as a monthly mortgage payment to Mal-vern).
e. The Debtor projected $3,329.97 in positive monthly cash flow.
See
Schedules A-J, Prior Case Docket Entry No. 20.
16. By order dated October 25, 2006, the court confirmed the Debtor’s Second Amended Chapter 11 Plan (“the Confirmed Plan”) in the Prior Case.
See
Prior Case Docket Entry No. 71.
17. The Confirmed Plan obligated the Debtor to make regular monthly payments on the Emigrant loan and to satisfy the entire indebtedness on or before December 31, 2007. The Confirmed Plan also required the Debtor to satisfy her entire indebtedness to Malvern by the same date.
See
Debtor’s Second Amended Chapter 11 Plan, Article IV, § § 1-2, Prior Case Docket Entry No. 66.
18. The Debtor was unable to procure financing to satisfy the Emigrant and Mal-vern obligations by the December 31, 2007 deadline set forth in the Confirmed Plan.
19. The Debtor also defaulted on her obligation to make regular monthly mortgage payments to Emigrant under the Confirmed Plan, which caused Emigrant to file a Motion to Dismiss the Prior Case on November 6, 2007.
See
Prior Case Docket Entry No. 100.
20. The Debtor consented to Emigrant’s Motion to Dismiss and the court dismissed the Prior Case by Order dated November 7, 2007.
See
Prior Case Docket Entry No. 104.
21. After the dismissal of the Prior Case, Emigrant’s filed a motion to reassess damages in the District Court Foreclosure Case.
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MEMORANDUM
ERIC L. FRANK, Bankruptcy Judge.
I. INTRODUCTION
Andrea A. Mullock (“the Debtor”) is the owner of the real property located at 933 Black Road, Gladwyne, PA (“the Property”). She commenced this chapter 11 bankruptcy case on October 21, 2008. It is her second chapter 11 bankruptcy case.
Emigrant Mortgage Company (“Emigrant”), a secured creditor holding the first mortgage on the Property, filed a Motion for Relief from the Automatic Stay (“the Motion”) on January 16, 2009. Emigrant seeks authority to enforce its prepet-ition foreclosure judgment obtained in federal court and to subject the Property to a marshal’s sale. The sole basis for the relief Emigrant requests is 11 U.S.C. § 362(d)(2).
The court held an evidentiary hearing on the Motion on February 11, 2009. Michael Mullock (“Mr.Mullock”), the Debtor’s husband, was the sole witness. At the conclusion of the hearing, the court took the matter under advisement and requested that the parties submit post-hearing mem-oranda. Both parties did so on February 25, 2009. The matter is now ready for disposition.
For the reasons set forth below, the Motion will granted.
II. FINDINGS OF FACT
1. The Debtor is woman in her late 40’s who is legally blind and disabled as a
result of a catastrophic accident she suffered in 1984.
2. The Debtor is dependent upon Mr. Mullock to conduct her financial and business affairs and, at all relevant times, he has done so on her behalf.
3. In 1987, the Debtor received a settlement in connection with certain litigation arising from her accident. The settlement had a value of approximately $3.5 million and was structured in the form of an annuity and cash.
4. The Debtor used some of the cash portion of the settlement for a down payment for the purchase the Property. The Debtor also used some of the cash portion of the settlement to invest in a business that Mr. Mullock operated (“the Earlier Business”).
5. The Debtor is the sole owner of the Property and has lived there for more than twenty (20) years.
6. There are two (2) structures on the Property: a residence and a carriage house.
7. Some time in the mid-1990’s, the Earlier Business ran into financial difficulties and ceased operations. The Debtor and Mr. Mullock experienced their own personal financial distress, resulting in the foreclosure and the Debtor’s loss of ownership of the Property.
8. After the Debtor lost title to the Property, she and Mr. Mullock remained in possession of the Property through what she described as a “lease to purchase” agreement.
9. In 1999 and thereafter, the Debtor became the owner of two (2) related companies, Consolidated Woodwork Manufacturing of Delaware (“CWM”) and Global Development, C.R., S.A. (“Global”). Mr. Mullock ran these new business ventures.
10. In April 2001, the Debtor entered into an adjustable rate mortgage transaction with Emigrant, borrowing the principal amount of $750,000.00. This loan enabled her to repurchase and regain ownership of the Property.
11. Also in 2001, the Debtor entered into a loan transaction with Malvern Federal Savings and Loan (“Malvern”), in the form of a term loan and a line of credit, to provide financing for the business operations of CWM and Global. The Debtor granted Malvern a mortgage on the Property in that transaction.
12. Within one (1) or two (2) years after the Emigrant loan transaction, the Debtor became delinquent on the Emigrant loan.
13. Emigrant initiated foreclosure proceedings and obtained a judgment against the Debtor on May 31, 2005 in the amount of $1,140,130.49 (plus interest and late fees) in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania, in a case docketed as C.A. No. 2:03-CV-3910 (“the
District Court Foreclosure Case”).
Thereafter, Emigrant scheduled a marshal’s sale of the Property.
14. Prior to the scheduled marshal’s sale, the Debtor filed the Prior Case on November 29, 2005.
15. The Debtor’s bankruptcy schedules in the Prior Case revealed the following:
a. The estimated value of the Property was $1,800,000.00.
b. The Property was subject to two (2) mortgages with a total indebtedness of $1,400,000.00: a first mortgage in favor of Emigrant in the amount of $1,150,00.00
and a second mortgage in favor of Malvern in the amount of $250,000.00.
c. Emigrant and Malvern were the only creditors.
d. The Debtor had projected monthly income of $18,578.00,
monthly expenses of $15,248.08 (including $6,000.00 as a monthly mortgage payment to Emigrant and $2,807.20 as a monthly mortgage payment to Mal-vern).
e. The Debtor projected $3,329.97 in positive monthly cash flow.
See
Schedules A-J, Prior Case Docket Entry No. 20.
16. By order dated October 25, 2006, the court confirmed the Debtor’s Second Amended Chapter 11 Plan (“the Confirmed Plan”) in the Prior Case.
See
Prior Case Docket Entry No. 71.
17. The Confirmed Plan obligated the Debtor to make regular monthly payments on the Emigrant loan and to satisfy the entire indebtedness on or before December 31, 2007. The Confirmed Plan also required the Debtor to satisfy her entire indebtedness to Malvern by the same date.
See
Debtor’s Second Amended Chapter 11 Plan, Article IV, § § 1-2, Prior Case Docket Entry No. 66.
18. The Debtor was unable to procure financing to satisfy the Emigrant and Mal-vern obligations by the December 31, 2007 deadline set forth in the Confirmed Plan.
19. The Debtor also defaulted on her obligation to make regular monthly mortgage payments to Emigrant under the Confirmed Plan, which caused Emigrant to file a Motion to Dismiss the Prior Case on November 6, 2007.
See
Prior Case Docket Entry No. 100.
20. The Debtor consented to Emigrant’s Motion to Dismiss and the court dismissed the Prior Case by Order dated November 7, 2007.
See
Prior Case Docket Entry No. 104.
21. After the dismissal of the Prior Case, Emigrant’s filed a motion to reassess damages in the District Court Foreclosure Case. That motion was granted and, on June 6, 2008, the District Court entered an amended judgment for foreclosure in the amount of $1,866,419.17, plus interest from November 1, 2007 through April 22, 2007 in the amount of $58,392.20, plus interest at the rate of 18%, $ 356.05 per diem, from April 22, 2008, until the judgment is satisfied, plus post-judgment attorneys fees and costs in the amount of $ 34,141.25.
22. The Debtor appealed the District Court’s June 6, 2008 order to the Court of Appeals.
23. Emigrant renewed execution proceedings and a marshal’s sale of the Property was scheduled following the entry of the June 6, 2008 order in the District Court Foreclosure Case.
24. On September 17, 2008, the District Court denied the Debtor’s Motion to Stay Marshal’s Sale, precipitating the Debtor’s filing of the present chapter 11 bankruptcy case on October 21, 2008.
25. The Debtor’s Schedules in the present case reveal the following:
a.The estimated value of the Property, $1,165,000.00, a decrease of more $600,000.00 from the value listed in the schedules in the Prior Case.
b. The aggregate indebtedness arising from the Emigrant and Malvern mortgages against the Property is $1,597,000.00 (the debt to Emigrant being $1,347,000.00
and the debt to Malvern being $250,000).
c. Emigrant and Malvern are the only creditors listed in the Debtor’s schedules in the present case other than a small debt to the United States Internal Revenue Service ($300.00).
d. The Debtor projects her monthly income to be $26,578.00, with $15,469.22 in current living expenses. The expenses include $8,282.02 as a monthly mortgage payment to Emigrant and $2,807.20 as a monthly mortgage payment to Malvern.
e. The Debtor has projected $11,108.78 in positive monthly cash flow.
See
Schedules A-J (Docket Entry No. 26).
26. As of the February 11, 2009 hearing, the Debtor had paid all of the mortgage payments to Emigrant that fell due since filing the filing of the present case.
27. As of the date of the February 11, 2009 hearing, the Debtor had not filed a proposed chapter 11 plan of reorganization.
28. Presently, Global is the source of the Debtor’s business income.
29. Global’s business is the manufacture of windows and doors for installation in “historic” and “high end” institutions and properties.
30. All of Global’s manufacturing operations are located in Costa Rica.
31. Mr. Mullock uses the cottage on the Property as his business office. In addition, the cottage serves as a kind of “show house” because certain Global products have been installed there. This permits customers to see how the products look generally and, in particular, how their appearance “ages” in the local climate.
III. CONCLUSIONS OF LAW
1. The Debtor lacks equity in the Property.
2. The Property is not necessary to an effective reorganization.
3. Emigrant is entitled to relief from the automatic stay under 11 U.S.C. § 362(d)(2).
IV. DISCUSSION
A.
Section 362(d)(2) of the Bankruptcy Code provides:
On request of a party in interest and after notice and a hearing, the court shall grant relief from the stay provided under subsection (a) of this section, such as by terminating, annulling, modifying, or conditioning such stay—
(2) with respect to a stay of an act against property under subsection (a) of this section, if—
(A) the debtor does not have an equity in such property; and
(B) such property is not necessary to an effective reorganization ...
11 U.S.C. § 362(d)(2).
Under 11 U.S.C. § 362(g)(1), Emigrant has the burden of proving the absence of equity. The Debtor has the burden on all other issues.
Id.
§ 362(g)(2).
At the beginning of the hearing on the Motion, the parties stipulated that the Debtor lacks equity in the Property within the meaning of § 362(d)(2).
Therefore, the only remaining issue is whether the Property is “necessary to an effective reorganization.” The Debtor bears the burden on the issue.
Id.
§ 362(g)(2).
In their post-hearing submissions, both parties have cited
United Sav. Ass’n. v. Timbers of Inwood Forest
Assocs., 484 U.S. 365, 108 S.Ct. 626, 98 L.Ed.2d 740 (1988) and acknowledged that the § 362(d)(2) concept of being “necessary to an effective reorganization” means more than that the debtor needs the property to pursue the reorganization effort. For the Debtor to satisfy her burden under § 362(d)(2)(B), she must establish not only (1) that the Property is needed in her reorganization, but also (2) that there is “a reasonable possibility of a successful reorganization within a reasonable period of
time”
Timbers,
484 U.S. at 376, 108 S.Ct. at 633.
B.
The parties devote most of their arguments to the first requirement under § 362(d)(2)(B),
ie.,
whether the Property is “necessary” to the Debtor’s attempted reorganization.
The Debtor argues that: (1) this case should be treated as a “single asset” bankruptcy case, subject to the Third Circuit’s observation that in single asset chapter 11 cases, the debtor’s property “will almost always be necessary for reorganization,”
In re Indian Palms Assocs.,
61 F.3d at 209; and alternatively, (2) the Property is necessary to the Debtor’s reorganization due to its use as her residence.
In response, Emigrant argues (1) the Property is not the Debtor’s sole asset (or even the Debtor’s most valuable asset) and that therefore,
Indian Palms Assocs.
is inapposite; (2) the need for the Property in the Debtor’s reorganization should be evaluated by considering the role it plays in producing income and (3) the Property is not unique simply because Mr. Mullock has an office “in the home,” especially in light of the fact that Global’s primary business operations are in Costa Rica; and (4) the nexus between the Property and the Debtor’s ability to generate income from her interest in Global is too attenuated to support a finding that the Property is necessary to the Debtor’s reorganization.
However, as explained below, I find it unnecessary to resolve the parties’ thoughtful debate concerning the necessity of the Property to the Debtor’s reorganization because the Debtor has not met her burden with respect to the second issue under § 362(d)(2) — whether there is a reasonable possibility of achieving an effective reorganization within a reasonable period of time.
C.
As the Debtor properly cautions, her burden to establish that there is a reasonable possibility of achieving a reorganization within a reasonable period of time should not transform a § 362(d)(2) hearing into a confirmation hearing.
See, e.g., John Hancock Mut. Life Ins. Co. v. Route 37 Bus. Park
Assocs., 987 F.2d 154, 157 (3d Cir.1993). Rather, a debtor need only show that confirmation of a plan is “within the realm of possibility,” In
re Thornwood Assocs.,
161 B.R. 367, 368 (Bankr.M.D.Pa.),
aff'd,
162 B.R. 438 (M.D.Pa.1993), or that a proposed plan “is
not patently uneonfirmable and has a realistic chance of being confirmed.”
In re 266 Washington
Assocs., 141 B.R. 275, 281 (Bankr.E.D.N.Y.),
aff'd,
147 B.R. 827 (E.D.N.Y.1992).
Even considering the less stringent standard that may apply at this relatively early stage of the chapter 11 case, I am not convinced that the Debtor can propose a plan that has a sufficiently realistic chance of being confirmed within a reasonable time to warrant maintaining the automatic stay in place over Emigrant’s opposition under § 362(d)(2).
The Debtor presented a general summary of her likely plan of reorganization at the February 11, 2009 hearing. Essentially, she contemplates utilizing her projected business and non-business income stream over a ten (10) year period to maintain contractual payments and cure the prepetition delinquency on both the Emigrant and Malvern mortgages.
See
11 U.S.C. § 1123(a)(5)(G) (a chapter 11 plan shall provide the means for its implementation such as “curing or waiving ... any default”);
id.
§ 1124(2) (plan treatment that cures a default does not “impair” the claim).
The proposed treatment of Emigrant and Malvern may be summarized as follows:
Claimant_Amount_Treatment
Emigrant $779,000.00 [prepetition arrears] plus 6% Through plan:
_interest = $825,740.00_$6,881.16/month
Malvern 100,000.00 est. Through plan: $833.33/month
Total $925,740.00 $7,714.49/mo. x 120 months
See
Exhibit D-3.
I find this proposal flawed.
The Debtor’s expectation that her income will support the continued maintenance of both mortgages, plus an additional $7,714.49 in plan payments per month for a period of ten (10) years is unrealistic. The total debt service involved is nearly $19,000 per month.
I am aware that the Debtor produced bankruptcy schedules stating that her current monthly net income (ie., current income minus current expenditures) is $11,108.78,
an amount that appears sufficient to support the proposed $7,714.49 plan payment. However, I am unable to credit the Debtor’s projections.
There is nothing in the Debtor’s financial history suggesting she can support debt service on her home at a level that exceeds $225,000.00 per year.
Prior to
the filing of this bankruptcy case, her income was either inadequate or unreliable, resulting in extended periods of time in which she was unable to pay her regular monthly mortgage payment, let alone an additional monthly payment to cure the mortgage arrears.
The feasibility of the Debtor’s reorganization theory is entirely dependent on her assertion that Global’s structural change in business operations will generate profits at a level sufficient to permit the Debtor to increase her draw from Global to approximately 167% above historical levels — an increase of almost $100,000.00 per year.
I am dubious that this stated increase either exists or, if it presently does exist, is sustainable over time for several reasons.
First, the Debtor has not presented any concrete evidence that her purported increased income since the Prior Case is based in reality. If the Debtor’s net monthly income is really $11,108.78, then the Debtor should have accumulated more than $30,000.00 during the three (3) months between the filing of this bankruptcy case in October 2008 and the February 11, 2009 hearing. Yet, she came forward with no evidence that she has such savings at the hearing.
Nor do her Monthly Operating Reports confirm that her Schedule I and J projections have been borne out in the first five (5) months of this case.
Second, it appears that the Debtor has understated her expenses.
See
Present Case Schedule J (Docket Entry No. 26).
This casts doubt on the general reliability of her income and expense statement.
Finally, I cannot ignore this case’s historical context. Were this the Debtor’s first attempt at reorganization, I might accept more easily the Debtor’s very optimistic income projections at this early stage of the case, particularly in the absence of a vigorous challenge to their reliability by Emigrant. However, the proposition that the debtor need not make a detailed showing regarding plan feasibility in defending a § 362(d)(2) motion prior to confirmation has less force when there was a prior failed reorganization attempt.
See In re Elliott-Cook, 357
B.R. 811, 815 (Bankr.N.D.Cal.2006) (cited in
In re Ferguson,
376 B.R. 109, 121 (Bankr.E.D.Pa.2007)) (observing that the court must consider why prior reorganization effort(s) failed and what has changed to make present effort likely to succeed). If there has been a long history of financial default and one or more prior failed reorganization attempts, “the evidence needed to demonstrate a material change in circumstances supporting a reasonable possibility of reorganization grows heavier.”
In re Dawson,
2007 WL 4190772, at *3 (Bankr.E.D.Pa. Nov.20, 2007).
Here, the Debtor’s mortgage account with Emigrant has been in default for six (6) years or more. Emigrant obtained a judgment and first initiated execution proceedings almost four (4) years ago. Since commencement of the Prior Case in 2005, the Debtor made some monthly mortgage payments to Emigrant, but not consistently. Indeed, the default on the mortgage, which was more than $490,000.00 as of the commencement of the Prior Case, grew to more than $779,000.00 by the time the Present Case was filed.
See
nn. 5, 9
supra.
In light of this history, which includes the Debtor’s default on her monthly mortgage payments to Emigrant after plan confirmation in the Prior Case, I am skeptical about the Debtor’s ability to carry out the terms of the proposed reorganization plan; particularly in light of the uncorroborated, self-serving evidence the Debtor presented in support of its feasibility.
After considering the evidence, I have no confidence that this is a case in which the Debtor has solved a long-standing financial problem with a long-term solution. Rather, the evidence suggests that the Debtor’s post-petition payments to Emigrant are simply part of the historical pattern of intermittent performance of her contractual obligations and that there is no reasonable probability that the Debtor will be able to generate income for a sustained period at a level sufficient to repay the enormous delinquency that has accrued on the Emigrant mortgage.
In short, in a case in which the Debtor proposes to fund her reorganization plan through an alleged dramatic increase in income and where confirmability and feasibility are at issue and a prior reorganization effort was unsuccessful, the Debtor has failed to make a satisfactory showing that her circumstances have changed sufficiently to establish that (1) an effective reorganization is probable within a reasonable period of time and therefore, (2) the automatic stay should be maintained as to a property that lacks equity.
V. CONCLUSION
For the reasons set forth above, Emigrant’s Motion for Relief from the Automatic Stay will be granted. An appropriate order will be entered.
ORDER
AND NOW, upon consideration of the Motion for Relief from the Automatic Stay (“the Motion”) filed by Emigrant Mortgage Company (“Emigrant”) and the Debtor’s response thereto, and after a hearing, and for the reasons set forth in the accompanying Memorandum, it is hereby ORDERED that
1. The Motion is GRANTED.
2. The automatic stay is terminated with respect to the real property located at 933 Black Road, Gladwyne, PA (“the Real Property”) to permit Emigrant to enforce its
in rem
rights in the Real Property under applicable nonbankruptcy law and to allow any purchaser of the Real Property at a sheriffs or marshal’s sale (or the purchaser’s assignee) to take legal or consensual action under applicable nonbank-ruptcy law to enforce its right to possession of or title to the Real Property.