Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge WILLIAMS.
STEPHEN F. WILLIAMS, Circuit Judge:
This appeal arises out of a personal injury claim filed by Donald Raynor, Jr. and his parents against Merrell Pharmaceuticals, Inc., alleging that Merrell’s anti-nausea drug,
Bendectin, caused Raynor’s birth defects. After a jury awarded $300,000 in compensatory damages, Merrell filed motions for judgment notwithstanding the verdict (“JNOV”) and for a new trial. The district judge granted the former based upon our decision in
Richardson v. Richardson-Merrell, Inc.,
857 F.2d 823 (D.C.Cir.1988). On the first appeal of the judge’s ruling, this court remanded to the district court for further consideration in light of the Supreme Court’s opinion in
Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc.,
509 U.S. 579, 113 S.Ct. 2786, 125 L.Ed.2d 469 (1993).
Griffin v. Richardson-Merrell, Inc.,
No. 93-7109, 1993 WL 483935 (D.C.Cir. Nov.12, 1993) (per curiam). After analyzing the admissibility of plaintiffs’ evidence using the
Daubert
factors, the district court confirmed its original judgment.
Rule 50
Plaintiffs argue that JNOV under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 50 (currently titled a “Judgment as a Matter of Law”) is an improper remedy for evidentiary errors at trial. Rather, according to plaintiffs, the only appropriate remedy for errors in the admission of evidence is a motion for a new trial under Rule 59(a). On plaintiffs’ view JNOV is reserved for cases where the evidence presented was of insufficient weight to raise an issue for the jury.
Although plaintiffs concede that they failed to raise this issue before the district court, they argue that our decision in
Richardson,
857 F.2d at 823, made raising it futile. If this were the case, plaintiffs might conceivably benefit from the “superveningdeeision doctrine,” which allows us to consider issues not raised at trial where “the law was so well-settled at the time of trial that any attempt to challenge it would have appeared pointless,” but where the law had changed in the appellant’s favor between trial court’s decision and appeal.
United States v. Washington,
12 F.3d 1128, 1138-39 (D.C.Cir.1994).
We assume arguendo that two
post-Richardson
circuit court decisions adopting the view that evidence may not be excluded on a JNOV motion,
Douglass v. Eaton Corp.,
956 F.2d 1339, 1343-44 (6th Cir.1992);
Jackson v. Pleasant Grove Health Care Center,
980 F.2d 692, 695-96 (11th Cir.1993), could be “supervening decisions” of sufficient magnitude to trigger the doctrine of that name.
But even with that assumption,
Richardson
fails to establish the sort of circuit rule required by
Washington,
i.e., one that would render “pointless” an objection to resting JNOV on an exclusion of evidence previously admitted. In fact, the
Richardson
court simply did not address the issue.
To be sure, the
Richardson
court upheld the grant of a JNOV motion in a ease factually similar to this one, and the opinion, although it discusses the evidence’s sufficiency, clearly rests on its inadmissibility.
Richardson,
857 F.2d at 825 n. 9. As plaintiffs acknowledge, however, the issue of whether JNOV can be granted to redress errors of admissibility “was neither briefed ... nor discussed, in
Richardson.”
Rep. Br. at 3, quoting Appellants’ Memorandum in Opposition to Motion for Summary Affirmance. Although the
Richardson
court upheld the JNOV motion, it neither considered, nor had implicitly to resolve, the question of whether such a motion was appropriate for admissibility errors. It therefore provides no holding on this question, and cannot justify plaintiffs’ failure to object at trial. Thus they have waived their Rule 50 argument.
Of course, if
Richardson
did create binding law establishing the propriety of JNOV for admissibility errors, this panel would be bound by that precedent, despite the two intervening circuit court decisions that back plaintiffs’ position. Moreover, the rule re
jecting resolution of an evidentiary issue on a motion for JNOV rests on imputed reliance; if the evidence had been excluded in the course of trial, the offering party might have offered a substitute. See
Jackson,
980 F.2d at 696. Plaintiffs’ failure to object strongly suggests the absence of any such reliance.
Daubert
Plaintiffs argue that the district court inappropriately deemed their expert testimony inadmissible. We review the district court’s judgment for abuse of discretion.
Joy v. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc.,
999 F.2d 649, 567 (D.C.Cir.1993) (district court has broad discretion regarding the admission or exclusion of expert testimony under Rule 702); see also
Lust v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc.,
89 F.3d 594, 596-97 (9th Cir.1996) (abuse of discretion review applies to F.R.E. 702 ruling);
Rosen v. Ciba-Geigy Corp.,
78 F.3d 316, 318 (7th Cir.1996) (same).
In
Richardson
this court held that similar evidence was inadmissible:
These three types of studies then — chemical,
in vitro,
and
in vivo
— cannot furnish a sufficient foundation for a conclusion that Bendectin caused the birth defects at issue in this case. Studies of this kind, singly or in combination, are not capable of proving causation in human beings in the face of the overwhelming body of contradictory epidemiological evidence.
857 F.2d at 830.
Richardson
was decided under Federal Rule of Evidence 703, which provides an exception to the hearsay rule for the facts and data underlying expert testimony:
If of a type reasonably relied upon by experts in the particular field in forming opinions or inferences upon the subject, the facts or data need not be admissible in evidence.
In reliance on
Richardson,
the district court initially found plaintiffs’ evidence inadmissible under Rule 703. If we were to consider this case under Rule 703, nothing would compel us to deviate from our holding in
Richardson.
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Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge WILLIAMS.
STEPHEN F. WILLIAMS, Circuit Judge:
This appeal arises out of a personal injury claim filed by Donald Raynor, Jr. and his parents against Merrell Pharmaceuticals, Inc., alleging that Merrell’s anti-nausea drug,
Bendectin, caused Raynor’s birth defects. After a jury awarded $300,000 in compensatory damages, Merrell filed motions for judgment notwithstanding the verdict (“JNOV”) and for a new trial. The district judge granted the former based upon our decision in
Richardson v. Richardson-Merrell, Inc.,
857 F.2d 823 (D.C.Cir.1988). On the first appeal of the judge’s ruling, this court remanded to the district court for further consideration in light of the Supreme Court’s opinion in
Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc.,
509 U.S. 579, 113 S.Ct. 2786, 125 L.Ed.2d 469 (1993).
Griffin v. Richardson-Merrell, Inc.,
No. 93-7109, 1993 WL 483935 (D.C.Cir. Nov.12, 1993) (per curiam). After analyzing the admissibility of plaintiffs’ evidence using the
Daubert
factors, the district court confirmed its original judgment.
Rule 50
Plaintiffs argue that JNOV under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 50 (currently titled a “Judgment as a Matter of Law”) is an improper remedy for evidentiary errors at trial. Rather, according to plaintiffs, the only appropriate remedy for errors in the admission of evidence is a motion for a new trial under Rule 59(a). On plaintiffs’ view JNOV is reserved for cases where the evidence presented was of insufficient weight to raise an issue for the jury.
Although plaintiffs concede that they failed to raise this issue before the district court, they argue that our decision in
Richardson,
857 F.2d at 823, made raising it futile. If this were the case, plaintiffs might conceivably benefit from the “superveningdeeision doctrine,” which allows us to consider issues not raised at trial where “the law was so well-settled at the time of trial that any attempt to challenge it would have appeared pointless,” but where the law had changed in the appellant’s favor between trial court’s decision and appeal.
United States v. Washington,
12 F.3d 1128, 1138-39 (D.C.Cir.1994).
We assume arguendo that two
post-Richardson
circuit court decisions adopting the view that evidence may not be excluded on a JNOV motion,
Douglass v. Eaton Corp.,
956 F.2d 1339, 1343-44 (6th Cir.1992);
Jackson v. Pleasant Grove Health Care Center,
980 F.2d 692, 695-96 (11th Cir.1993), could be “supervening decisions” of sufficient magnitude to trigger the doctrine of that name.
But even with that assumption,
Richardson
fails to establish the sort of circuit rule required by
Washington,
i.e., one that would render “pointless” an objection to resting JNOV on an exclusion of evidence previously admitted. In fact, the
Richardson
court simply did not address the issue.
To be sure, the
Richardson
court upheld the grant of a JNOV motion in a ease factually similar to this one, and the opinion, although it discusses the evidence’s sufficiency, clearly rests on its inadmissibility.
Richardson,
857 F.2d at 825 n. 9. As plaintiffs acknowledge, however, the issue of whether JNOV can be granted to redress errors of admissibility “was neither briefed ... nor discussed, in
Richardson.”
Rep. Br. at 3, quoting Appellants’ Memorandum in Opposition to Motion for Summary Affirmance. Although the
Richardson
court upheld the JNOV motion, it neither considered, nor had implicitly to resolve, the question of whether such a motion was appropriate for admissibility errors. It therefore provides no holding on this question, and cannot justify plaintiffs’ failure to object at trial. Thus they have waived their Rule 50 argument.
Of course, if
Richardson
did create binding law establishing the propriety of JNOV for admissibility errors, this panel would be bound by that precedent, despite the two intervening circuit court decisions that back plaintiffs’ position. Moreover, the rule re
jecting resolution of an evidentiary issue on a motion for JNOV rests on imputed reliance; if the evidence had been excluded in the course of trial, the offering party might have offered a substitute. See
Jackson,
980 F.2d at 696. Plaintiffs’ failure to object strongly suggests the absence of any such reliance.
Daubert
Plaintiffs argue that the district court inappropriately deemed their expert testimony inadmissible. We review the district court’s judgment for abuse of discretion.
Joy v. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc.,
999 F.2d 649, 567 (D.C.Cir.1993) (district court has broad discretion regarding the admission or exclusion of expert testimony under Rule 702); see also
Lust v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc.,
89 F.3d 594, 596-97 (9th Cir.1996) (abuse of discretion review applies to F.R.E. 702 ruling);
Rosen v. Ciba-Geigy Corp.,
78 F.3d 316, 318 (7th Cir.1996) (same).
In
Richardson
this court held that similar evidence was inadmissible:
These three types of studies then — chemical,
in vitro,
and
in vivo
— cannot furnish a sufficient foundation for a conclusion that Bendectin caused the birth defects at issue in this case. Studies of this kind, singly or in combination, are not capable of proving causation in human beings in the face of the overwhelming body of contradictory epidemiological evidence.
857 F.2d at 830.
Richardson
was decided under Federal Rule of Evidence 703, which provides an exception to the hearsay rule for the facts and data underlying expert testimony:
If of a type reasonably relied upon by experts in the particular field in forming opinions or inferences upon the subject, the facts or data need not be admissible in evidence.
In reliance on
Richardson,
the district court initially found plaintiffs’ evidence inadmissible under Rule 703. If we were to consider this case under Rule 703, nothing would compel us to deviate from our holding in
Richardson.
Plaintiffs make much of
Ambrosini v. Labarraque,
966 F.2d 1464, 1468 (D.C.Cir.1992)
(“Ambrosini
I”), in which we distinguished
Richardson
in part on the ground that the expert in that case had conceded that the data was not the type upon which an expert would reasonably rely. See also
Ambrosini v. Labarraque,
101 F.3d 129, 138 (D.C.Cir.1996) (citing expert’s concession as one distinguishing factor)
(“Ambrosini II’).
But the more critical distinction in
Ambrosini
was that whereas Bendectin had “been extensively studied and a wealth of published epidemiological data ha[d] been amassed, none of which has concluded that the drug is teratogenic,”
id.
at 138 (quoting
Richardson),
the drug in question in
Ambrosini,
Depo-Provera, had not been the subject of such a wealth of studies. Plaintiffs ask us to distinguish
Richardson
and apply the two
Ambrosini
cases, pointing to the assertions of their expert (Dr. Thoman) that, contrary to the scientists whose work this court found dis-positive in
Richardson,
see 857 F.2d at 831 (noting that no published work found statistically significant association between Bendectin and birth defects), it was reasonable to form an opinion as to causation without data statistically significant at the 95% confidence level. But nothing in the
Ambrosini
cases suggests that one expert’s conclusory assertion of some lower threshold of statistical significance could undercut the force of the Bendectin studies found controlling in
Richardson.
See
In re Paoli Railroad Yd. PCB Litigation,
35 F.3d 717, 748 (3d Cir.1994) (judge must make independent inquiry regarding reasonableness of reliance).
Plaintiffs argue, however, that our Rule 703 holding has no force in light of the Supreme Court’s decision in
Daubert.
While
Daubert
creates no obvious bar to applying Rule 703 as we have done in the past, it leaves obscure the relation between that rule and the rule at issue in
Daubert,
Rule 702, whieh states that an expert may testify if the “scientific, technical, or other specialized knowledge will assist the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in issue.” The
Daubert
Court found Rule 702 the “primary locus” of the district court’s obligation to screen scientific evidence presented by expert testimony, 509 U.S. at 589, 113 S.Ct. at 2794-95, but also instructed the judge to “be mindful of other applicable rules” such as Rule 703,
id.
at 595, 113 S.Ct. at 2797. Courts have begun to explore the
relationship between Rules 702 and 703 following
Daubert.
See, e.g.,
In re Paoli,
35 F.3d at 748 (holding that Rule 703 is the equivalent to Rule 702’s reliability requirement). We need not do so, however, because we find that plaintiffs’ evidence is inadmissible under Rule 702.
The Court in
Daubert
directed federal courts first to determine whether the proffered expert’s evidence is “scientific knowledge,” which it said required consideration of the following: (1) whether the theory or technique can be (or has been) tested; (2) whether the theory or technique has been subject to peer review and publication; (3) the known or potential rate of error of the methodology; and (4) the general acceptance of the methodology. 509 U.S. at 593-95, 113 S.Ct. at 2796-98. In addition, the court must conclude that the expert testimony will “assist the trier of fact to understand or determine a fact in issue.”
Id.
at 592, 113 S.Ct. at 2796.
Plaintiffs contend that the district court erroneously applied the principles of
Daubert
by focusing on the conclusions of their experts rather than on the methodology. They are correct that the Supreme Court stated that the inquiry should “focus ... solely on principles and methodology, not on the conclusions that they generate.”
Id.
at 595, 113 S.Ct. at 2797. The line is not all that clear, as propositions may be formulated as conclusions or methodologies with comparatively minor linguistic adjustment. Here, however, the primary question can properly be formulated as whether it is methodologically sound to draw an inference that a drug causes human birth defects from chemical structure,
in vivo
animal studies, and
in vitro
studies, when epidemiological evidence is to the contrary. The secondary question is whether one expert’s “differential diagnosis,” which apparently seeks to determine cause by process of elimination, is methodologically sound in this context.
None of the plaintiffs’ experts had published their conclusions regarding Bendeetin, nor had their work been subject to peer review (factor #2). See
Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc.,
43 F.3d 1311, 1317 (9th Cir.1995) (noting that this factor may be particularly important where conclusions have been drawn solely for purpose of litigation: “a scientist’s normal workplace is the lab or the field, not the courtroom or the lawyer’s office”); cf.
Ambrosini II,
101 F.3d at 139 (noting concern about risk of “gun for hire” testimony).
The experts’ methodology also suffers from “testing” problems (factor # 1). The only way to test whether data from nonhuman studies can be extrapolated to humans would be to conduct human experiments or to use epidemiological data. In fact, the experts’ conclusions have been tested by the latter method and have been found wanting. We do not believe that when the
Daubert
opinion directed courts to consider whether the “theory or technique ... can be (and has been) tested,” 509 U.S. at 593, 113 S.Ct. at 2796, it meant that a “theory or technique” that has been
contradicted
is on that account
more
likely to qualify as “scientific knowledge.” Rather the reverse.
Similarly, where sound epidemiological studies produce opposite results from nonepi-demiological ones, the rate of error of the latter is likely to be quite high (factor # 3). Of course epidemiological evidence does not always trump the nonepidemiological. Here, however, plaintiffs make no serious argument that the epidemiological sample sizes have been too small to detect the relationship between Bendeetin and birth defects, a relationship that has been studied for hundreds of thousands of subjects.
In additipn to the
in vivo, in vitro,
and chemical data, plaintiffs put forth an expert, Dr. Thoman, who conducted a methodology called “differential diagnosis,” an approach presumably designed to eliminate other possible causes of Raynor’s birth defect. Based upon this analysis, Dr. Thoman points to Bendeetin as the cause. He relied upon family history, parental background, genetic history, physical examination, pregnancy history, and toxicology. Nonetheless, Dr. Tho-man provided “no tested or testable theory to explain how, from this limited information, he was able to eliminate all other potential
causes of birth defects.”
Daubert,
43 F.3d at 1319. Although we found testimony ruling out alternative causes admissible in
Ambrosini II,
101 F.3d at 139-40, that testimony on specific causation had legitimacy only as follow-up to admissible evidence that the drug in question
could
in general cause birth defects. That first step, establishing a link between Bendeetin and human birth defects (general causation), is missing here. In addition, while the
Ambrosini
expert evidently was able to show the implausibility of all but a few other possible causes, see
id.
at 140, Dr. Thoman, whose methodology remains obscure, failed to offer any comprehensive understanding of the etiology of birth defects.
Nor can plaintiffs’ methodology be said to enjoy “general acceptance” (factor # 4). Here, we reiterate our holding in
Richardson:
“Studies of this kind, singly or in combination, are not capable of proving causation in human beings in the face of the overwhelming body of contradictory epidemiological evidence.” 857 F.2d at 830; see also
Ealy v. Richardson-Merrell, Inc.,
897 F.2d 1159, 1161-63 (D.C.Cir.1990); cf.
Ambrosini II,
101 F.3d at 138 (distinguishing
Richardson
based on lack of overwhelming body of contradictory epidemiological evidence). Plaintiffs have provided no convincing argument that the medical profession disagrees. Thus we find that the district court correctly applied the
Daubert
test.
Finally, we note that even if the expert testimony were admissible under
Daubert,
it is unlikely that a jury could reasonably find it sufficient to show causation. The question of sufficiency would be a substantive rule under
Erie Railroad Co. v. Tompkins,
304 U.S. 64, 58 S.Ct. 817, 82 L.Ed. 1188 (1938), and therefore governed by District of Columbia law.
Our past Bendeetin decisions have not classified plaintiffs’ evidence similar to that presented here as insufficient as a matter of law, having noted the District of Columbia’s decision in
Oxendine v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc.,
506 A.2d 1100 (D.C.1986)
(“Oxendine I”),
which reinstated a jury verdict on the ground that the totality of evidence was enough for the jury to find a causal link between Bendectin and birth defects. See
Richardson,
857 F.2d at 825 n. 9;
Ealy,
897 F.2d at 1163. In
Ealy,
however, we said that
Oxendine I
was not likely to be “directly exportable” to cases taking into account the additional epidemiological evidence available since that decision.
Id. We
believe this conclusion even more true today than in 1990 when we originally suggested it. On the most recent remand in the
Oxendine
litigation,
Oxendine v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals Inc.,
No. 82-1245, 1996 WL 680992 (D.C. Super. Oct. 24, 1996), the trial court (although ultimately holding for defendants on admissibility rather than sufficiency grounds) provided an 82-page survey of Ben-dectin research, and concluded that Merrell had “established, by clear and convincing evidence, that post-1983 evidence makes it clear that Bendeetin is not a human terato-gen and that ‘all responsible scientific thought’ agrees with this conclusion.”
Id.
at *33. In addition, in Bendeetin cases after
Oxendine I
several circuits have held that, as a matter of law, plaintiffs’ expert testimony was insufficient to prove causation. See, e.g.,
Brock v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc.,
874 F.2d 307, 311-15 (5th Cir.1989) (lack of epidemiological proof fatal, particularly where only other evidence is animal studies);
Lynch v. Merrell-Nat'l Labs.,
830 F.2d 1190, 1195-97 (1st Cir.1987) (analysis of chemical structure and effect on animals incapable of proving causation in human beings in the absence of any confirmatory epidemiological data); but see
DeLuca v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc.,
911 F.2d 941 (3rd Cir.1990) (reversing summary judgment in favor of
pharmaceutical company and remanding for analysis of evidence by district court under Rule 702 without commenting on the sufficiency of that evidence).
Because the district court was within its discretion in finding the plaintiffs’ expert evidence inadmissible under Rule 702, the judgment is
Affirmed.